Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x577bc74c0e5e625fb0cf29e7a342bba2f256f8b8b72c70e34ff13cf78c08e669
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfe6…1bfabacked No | 0c | 45,526$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8f…1f24backed No | 56c | 1,308$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 24c | 516.42$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 31c | 459.8$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.75 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 39c | 413.61$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.76 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 5c | 375$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bd…cecabacked Yes | 56c | 358.76$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.86 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 48c | 355.17$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.75 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 38c | 279.45$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…f0ddbacked No | 67c | 237.7$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.2 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 35c | 223.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 53c | 217.08$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.76 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 35c | 198.36$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.64 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 67c | 194.49$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes | 52c | 183.49$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a109backed Yes | 52c | 171$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 32c | 153.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 66c | 149.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 56c | 149.55$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 64c | 147.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c68…7936backed Yes | 45c | 135.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 107 | 84.1%90 W · 17 L | +30.1wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +66%equal weight | 75+0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed No | 66c | 118.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 14c | 116.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 34c | 114.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 39c | 107.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.97 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…68a1backed No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed Yes | 52c | 106.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 28c | 103.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fd…c9a8backed Yes | 68c | 96.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 40c | 89.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked Yes | 42c | 88.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 27c | 84.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Yes | 54c | 75.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 182 | 55.5%101 W · 81 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked No | 72c | 75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 73.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb8…207ebacked Yes | 40c | 70.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 34c | 68.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 59c | 65.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03fd…0cc2backed Yes | 48c | 63.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 61.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f68…c408backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…ac2fbacked Yes | 36c | 57.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 56.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa336…43f1backed Yes | 42c | 55.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…7a97backed Yes | 35c | 53.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +115%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d7…a7fdbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda26…8fefbacked Yes | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed Yes | 77c | 49.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759e…4d38backed No | 60c | 48.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…a04ebacked Yes | 39c | 48.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 60c | 48.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf694…24e3backed Yes | 44c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 34c | 46.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…1fd8backed Yes | 24c | 44.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 68c | 44.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f0…95f4backed Yes | 66c | 43.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…e15bbacked Yes | 34c | 42.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 48c | 39.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…b73fbacked Yes | 68c | 39.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +29.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…0200backed Yes | 32c | 37.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…2ea5backed No | 67c | 36.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 41c | 35.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…f1b3backed Yes | 43c | 34.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…ea6fbacked No | 66c | 33.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 229 | 34.1%78 W · 151 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 59c | 32.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 37c | 31.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 49c | 30.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed No | 55c | 27.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Yes | 45c | 26.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4de…f9c4backed No | 59c | 24.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 48c | 22.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 80c | 22.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 47c | 22.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcb…634fbacked Yes | 70c | 22.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 215 | 47.4%102 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 47c | 22.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…bb58backed Yes | 55c | 21.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…a76abacked Yes | 54c | 20.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb17…0cd7backed Yes | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…ac1abacked Yes | 59c | 18.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…e1bfbacked Yes | 68c | 17.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on April 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.