TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0eee…74e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
512
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tweets, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 58 out of 100; worst World Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT40025.5%102 W · 298 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 400 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.25
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.15
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.25
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+58%+$30.42
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.44
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.46
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.77
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+522.9%+$243.44
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$34.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.43
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+310.7%+$75.64
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$87
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.11
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
Showing 25 of 400 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT7020%14 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$37.98
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.94
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.55
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+189.5%+$34.07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.07
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.25
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$176.4
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.75
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+308.2%+$151
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$34.97
Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 2 over 20% on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$85.58
All 10 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Eventbrite (EB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+222.6%+$24.13
Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.5
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trade Desk (TTD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
Will Lowe's (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+203%+$20.43
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+261.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.69
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+308.2%+$302
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+210.1%+$271
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+76.5%+$65
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+1,900%+$190
All 8 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-58.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $140 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.25
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD.AI launch a token on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.