World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6964266850617a4bfe9fcc0ae8a7d7581f449b1c9450acd7c629a5d7f28595f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 47c | 990.59$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.9 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 902.21$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.98 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 60c | 828.25$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.89 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 53c | 738$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.17 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…a4febacked Yes | 35c | 654.83$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.81 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 55c | 632.43$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.7 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 51c | 512.39$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.31 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 27c | 482.36$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a91…983fbacked Yes | 25c | 400$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 17c | 393.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Yes | 15c | 333.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 20c | 314.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 77c | 308.34$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…aafbbacked Yes | 69c | 300$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…0cf2backed Yes | 70c | 267.56$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 30c | 267.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 62c | 254.97$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed Yes | 19c | 233.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…a76dbacked Yes | 9c | 232.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 79c | 209.01$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 27c | 204.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 20c | 196.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked No | 35c | 196$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.44 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 17c | 186.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 53c | 183.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 75c | 168.49$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ad…c303backed Yes | 79c | 164.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 24c | 163.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 10c | 157.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 19c | 150.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 145.15$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 26c | 144.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…6c81backed Yes | 24c | 144.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 39c | 144.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 77c | 137.23$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 18c | 117.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8162…5ae7backed No | 77c | 117.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 54c | 116$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 18c | 110.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 53c | 110.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed No | 77c | 108.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 34c | 106.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 22c | 104.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5c…a240backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 24c | 99.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 55c | 98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 15c | 96.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 51c | 96.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea4…90edbacked Yes | 21c | 96.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 21c | 93.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 93.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 68c | 93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b6…94b8backed Yes | 21c | 92.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 78c | 91.65$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 80c | 91.28$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…cd33backed Yes | 11c | 90.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 56c | 85.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 67c | 84.81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 27c | 83.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 37c | 81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83bd…a2a0backed Yes | 15c | 80.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +645.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 75cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 79.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 39c | 78.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 28c | 77.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…a69fbacked Yes | 24c | 72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…c876backed Yes | 21c | 71.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 16c | 66.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 23c | 64.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 79c | 63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 79c | 62.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 53 | 83%44 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 24c | 62.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 35c | 62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 60c | 61.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 17c | 59.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 53c | 58.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 38c | 57.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…ff17backed Yes | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadb…e3dcbacked Yes | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 52.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 22c | 50.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…0a8bbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…6c9abacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…bf91backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 20c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5239…4134backed Yes | 64c | 49.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6f…8cfcbacked Yes | 22c | 48.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 60c | 47.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 25c | 45.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 45c | 45.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 74c | 45.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 186 | 69.4%129 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…28f0backed Yes | 33c | 44.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 65c | 44.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 59c | 41.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 3?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.