TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c47…79f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
760
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: World Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT64333.4%215 W · 428 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 643 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$27.59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.92
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.18
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.27
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.07
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$15.5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$21.53
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+337.2%+$38.58
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.3
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.08
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Showing 25 of 643 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT8235.4%29 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.42
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+178.1%+$64.04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19.19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+178.2%+$32.05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$19.25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+193.4%+$26.36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+189.7%+$32.73
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+100%+$33.79
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+26.6%+$7.11
Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$25.03
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+96.8%+$47.76
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$7.37
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-72.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-63.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25.8%+$4.1
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+43.6%+$10.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+46.2%+$24.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.