World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa3c43e28fd65fcec3bea2b11b977be58b632e0d1934b16d916486acd91dd206
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 25c | 531.86$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.79 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…cd1dbacked Yes | 52c | 442.97$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.38 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 7c | 294.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 44c | 286.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 11c | 276.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 63c | 273$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 53c | 255.44$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 76c | 253.74$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…8ffbbacked Yes | 49c | 238.38$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3667…e09fbacked No | 51c | 199.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 46c | 182.96$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 39c | 169.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 162.7$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 25c | 148.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 24c | 126.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 39c | 125$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 51c | 122.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 34c | 120.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 42c | 119.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 46c | 116.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 41c | 115.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 43c | 112.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 45c | 111.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 17c | 109.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 58c | 106.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 65c | 99.71$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 50c | 98.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…e479backed Yes | 42c | 98.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc168…c60dbacked Yes | 55c | 92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 19c | 89.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 47c | 80.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 46c | 80.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 48c | 74.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 54c | 72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 20c | 71.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed No | 43c | 70.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…4bc5backed Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 61c | 68.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 61c | 68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked No | 48c | 67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 38c | 64.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 50c | 60.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…3c35backed No | 48c | 59.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…6d6ebacked Yes | 34c | 59.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 43c | 56.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed Yes | 36c | 55.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 46c | 55.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4c…3d58backed Yes | 59c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 58c | 54.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 52c | 53.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 42c | 52.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 50c | 52.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 32c | 51.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 52c | 51.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…5f32backed Yes | 53c | 51.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2b87backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…78b9backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 61c | 45.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…7cb8backed Yes | 46c | 43.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…8099backed No | 54c | 43.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2e96backed Yes | 46c | 41.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked No | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 35c | 39.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 68c | 37.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 44c | 36.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 29c | 35.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 48c | 35.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 70c | 34.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9b…3351backed Yes | 59c | 34.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 40c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x780d…3e2dbacked No | 55c | 31.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…ddcdbacked Yes | 34c | 31.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 43c | 31.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 39c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed Yes | 41c | 29.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 42c | 29.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1616…7d49backed No | 46c | 28.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4095…24e2backed Yes | 46c | 28.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7510…6cb0backed Yes | 45c | 27.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 77c | 27.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 44c | 24.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 65c | 24.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 64c | 23.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 44c | 22.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 58c | 22.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 14?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.