NFL · resolved market
Jaguars vs. Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1297411bd6fc4c348beb7c40bb539c9c0ead7e52e2dd590dacc4c32cfd518697
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jaguarsof Jaguars, Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,800,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,946,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,800,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Jaguars | 37c | 86,112$31,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,250.56 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Broncos | 53c | 80,311$42,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,386.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…bf49backed Jaguars | 48c | 60,036$28,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,343.78 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Broncos | 63c | 58,905$36,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,816.74 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jaguars | 66c | 55,450$36,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,973.98 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Broncos | 40c | 52,094$20,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,665.76 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Broncos | 13c | 45,655$5,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,777.84 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Jaguars | 50c | 43,160$21,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,557.04 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Broncos | 63c | 40,000$25,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,200 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Broncos | 12c | 23,849$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.1 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Broncos | 16c | 20,511$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.65 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Broncos | 63c | 20,142$12,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,689.74 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Jaguars | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,400 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Broncos | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,200 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Broncos | 48c | 19,013$9,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,108.33 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Jaguars | 43c | 18,000$7,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,260 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Broncos | 62c | 16,907$10,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,482.18 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Broncos | 62c | 16,291$10,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,100.73 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Jaguars | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,149.78 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Broncos | 62c | 14,406$8,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,905.23 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…ba3abacked Broncos | 55c | 14,352$7,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,905 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fa…f554backed Broncos | 53c | 14,013$7,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,462.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Jaguars | 37c | 14,000$5,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,819.96 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Broncos | 55c | 13,764$7,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,587.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Broncos | 41c | 13,451$5,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,580.36 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Jaguars | 46c | 13,014$5,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,027.58 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Broncos | 63c | 11,027$6,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,928.88 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Jaguars | 59c | 10,606$6,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,348.33 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1c…9b59backed Broncos | 56c | 9,067$5,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,077.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Jaguars | 58c | 8,884$5,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,727.94 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Jaguars | 37c | 8,819$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,570.69 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Broncos | 59c | 8,747$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.08 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Jaguars | 37c | 8,719$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,492.92 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…097cbacked Jaguars | 37c | 8,500$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,355 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c51…087cbacked Broncos | 63c | 8,500$5,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,354.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jaguars | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9df…249ebacked Jaguars | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Jaguars | 37c | 7,793$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,909.59 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Jaguars | 55c | 7,749$4,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,473.1 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…1905backed Broncos | 70c | 7,073$4,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,966.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Broncos | 4c | 6,733$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.59 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0870…cd87backed Broncos | 62c | 6,432$3,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,987.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Broncos | 8c | 6,036$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Jaguars | 51c | 6,020$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.42 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…b70fbacked Jaguars | 39c | 5,794$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,534.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Jaguars | 37c | 5,781$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.79 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…dd2fbacked Broncos | 22c | 5,360$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Broncos | 12c | 5,333$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.34 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Broncos | 46c | 5,057$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.37 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Jaguars | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Jaguars | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Broncos | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Broncos | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…df5dbacked Broncos | 60c | 4,594$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Jaguars | 37c | 4,500$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jaguars | 66c | 4,450$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.94 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Jaguars | 37c | 4,324$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.12 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Jaguars | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.34 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Broncos | 62c | 4,218$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.17 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e8…06b5backed Jaguars | 39c | 4,152$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jaguars | 53c | 4,148$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.92 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…faebbacked Jaguars | 43c | 4,143$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.2 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Broncos | 63c | 4,127$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…a0ffbacked Broncos | 61c | 4,090$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…d85ebacked Jaguars | 57c | 4,000$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Broncos | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Jaguars | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Jaguars | 59c | 3,986$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Jaguars | 38c | 3,947$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.37 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -6.5wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Broncos | 63c | 3,792$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.67 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Jaguars | 38c | 3,684$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.21 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…5b1cbacked Broncos | 63c | 3,627$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…3961backed Jaguars | 37c | 3,616$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Broncos | 63c | 3,598$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.55 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Jaguars | 37c | 3,454$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.76 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Broncos | 55c | 3,248$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.45 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Jaguars | 67c | 3,227$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.94 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cec…1a24backed Jaguars | 40c | 3,217$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +73%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jaguars | 51c | 3,208$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.6 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Jaguars | 36c | 3,200$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.99 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…644ebacked Broncos | 25c | 3,032$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…163cbacked Jaguars | 55c | 3,030$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Broncos | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8166…6770backed Jaguars | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…f9bbbacked Jaguars | 39c | 2,896$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…6e04backed Broncos | 61c | 2,872$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…cb8fbacked Broncos | 61c | 2,859$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…ca67backed Jaguars | 38c | 2,800$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Broncos | 54c | 2,765$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.45 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11e…1bc0backed Jaguars | 39c | 2,699$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…05c8backed Jaguars | 39c | 2,697$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d26…be09backed Jaguars | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…f6cabacked Broncos | 61c | 2,630$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Broncos | 51c | 2,621$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.6 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Broncos | 53c | 2,600$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa058…9fc0backed Broncos | 61c | 2,517$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Broncos | 52c | 2,497$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.44 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ce…bf0bbacked Jaguars | 39c | 2,443$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Broncos | 0c | 2,440$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd4…7ed5backed Jaguars | 39c | 2,418$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jaguars vs. Broncosthis page
- Jaguars vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 45.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 47.5Over won
- Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Broncos (-3.5)Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.