NFL · resolved market
Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb24b7cbb332d1db8874428779b29ce7d6c6f1117d61217a92afba1de5ce928f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Under | 51c | 21,323$10,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,871.58 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 50c | 13,648$6,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,824 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Over | 50c | 13,065$6,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,532.5 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 8,136$3,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,986.64 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 5,989$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.56 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 5,595$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.55 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 42c | 3,638$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.95 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 59c | 3,520$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.76 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14d1…72bebacked Over | 51c | 2,721$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b3…3ec9backed Under | 49c | 2,718$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f1…0212backed Under | 49c | 2,542$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…2099backed Over | 51c | 2,537$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 50c | 2,430$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.34 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 2,360$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.7 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc799…fcfebacked Over | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…c7c3backed Under | 49c | 2,341$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…220abacked Under | 49c | 2,273$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e37…3849backed Over | 51c | 2,256$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…ea0cbacked Over | 51c | 2,114$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…6299backed Under | 49c | 2,108$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Under | 48c | 1,656$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.87 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 52c | 1,250$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 49c | 1,121$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.51 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 952.97$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.49 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 49c | 881.39$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.51 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 799.96$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.98 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 619$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.31 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 603.05$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.89 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 49c | 549.02$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…3b03backed Over | 51c | 514.16$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.94 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 16c | 512.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…3779backed Under | 46c | 401.46$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…6ec8backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 51c | 291$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +16.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Over | 55c | 109.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x91c9…16e8backed Over | 52c | 94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Over | 53c | 74.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 44c | 57.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 57c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…646ebacked Under | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…a305backed Over | 48c | 47.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…a0e8backed Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 50c | 42.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Under | 57c | 42.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3971…dc73backed Under | 49c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Under | 51c | 38.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 40c | 37.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3059…05fcbacked Under | 56c | 35.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 49c | 29.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 24.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Over | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…7556backed Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d31…295dbacked Under | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5this page
- Jaguars vs. BroncosJaguars won
- Jaguars vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 45.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 47.5Over won
- Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Broncos (-3.5)Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.