NFL · resolved market
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe58ab3588dc5bd9176230e5b5481bfbbb21398e2cd324c01144e12160b811ca6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jaguarsof Broncos, Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $416,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $490,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $416,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Broncos | 48c | 103,847$49,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,844.44 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Jaguars | 52c | 77,333$40,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,271.28 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Jaguars | 52c | 45,606$23,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,890.82 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Broncos | 49c | 40,000$19,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,400 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Broncos | 48c | 32,818$15,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,752.82 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Broncos | 48c | 28,889$13,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,866.79 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d26…be09backed Jaguars | 52c | 20,192$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,692.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Jaguars | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.77 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Jaguars | 51c | 16,643$8,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,154.98 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Jaguars | 51c | 11,396$5,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,584.12 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Jaguars | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Jaguars | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.97 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Broncos | 49c | 8,890$4,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,356.1 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Jaguars | 52c | 8,654$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,153.85 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Jaguars | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8166…6770backed Jaguars | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Jaguars | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Jaguars | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Jaguars | 50c | 5,583$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.67 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Broncos | 49c | 5,169$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Jaguars | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Broncos | 49c | 4,784$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.26 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaceb…6f8ebacked Broncos | 51c | 3,950$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Broncos | 48c | 3,769$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.17 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Broncos | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jaguars | 51c | 2,963$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.71 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797a…770cbacked Jaguars | 53c | 2,537$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c28…5298backed Broncos | 47c | 2,532$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…6b49backed Jaguars | 53c | 2,515$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Broncos | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Jaguars | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…f3abbacked Broncos | 47c | 2,497$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Jaguars | 52c | 2,424$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.28 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Jaguars | 51c | 2,410$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.75 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08d5…1b40backed Broncos | 47c | 2,321$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…4412backed Jaguars | 53c | 2,318$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…c4d4backed Jaguars | 53c | 2,147$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd915…4ffbbacked Broncos | 47c | 2,124$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Broncos | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Broncos | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…6927backed Broncos | 47c | 1,971$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88df…b546backed Jaguars | 53c | 1,930$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Broncos | 48c | 1,881$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.88 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Broncos | 49c | 1,757$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Broncos | 34c | 1,753$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.81 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Broncos | 48c | 1,735$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.8 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Broncos | 48c | 1,619$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.28 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Broncos | 45c | 1,555$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Broncos | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Broncos | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Jaguars | 69c | 1,290$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.97 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Jaguars | 50c | 1,245$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.72 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Jaguars | 52c | 1,150$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Jaguars | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Jaguars | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Broncos | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Broncos | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jaguars | 51c | 985.06$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.21 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Jaguars | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed78…f62bbacked Broncos | 49c | 852.39$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…c91ebacked Jaguars | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Jaguars | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Jaguars | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Jaguars | 16c | 750$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…f4c7backed Broncos | 49c | 717.88$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.76 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Broncos | 49c | 699.99$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Jaguars | 52c | 636.54$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.54 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Broncos | 58c | 615.61$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.54 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Jaguars | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jaguars | 59c | 556.05$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.55 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd65…fcfabacked Broncos | 35c | 540.94$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.41 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Broncos | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…7db3backed Jaguars | 52c | 482.15$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.43 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Jaguars | 51c | 474.82$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.35 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Jaguars | 52c | 452.1$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.91 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Jaguars | 51c | 450$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc9…6786backed Jaguars | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Broncos | 10c | 417.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Broncos | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Jaguars | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Broncos | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Jaguars | 51c | 384.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.65 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Jaguars | 52c | 345$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.33 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Jaguars | 62c | 331.61$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.41 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Jaguars | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Jaguars | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Jaguars | 10c | 300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 5cpaid | +221.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Jaguars | 49c | 300$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Broncos | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Broncos | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc034…3ff7backed Broncos | 49c | 299.92$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Jaguars | 52c | 275$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Broncos | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…3d49backed Broncos | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6252…bcf4backed Broncos | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Jaguars | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed Broncos | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Jaguars | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 54 | 9.3%5 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Broncos | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Jaguars | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Broncos (-3.5)this page
- Jaguars vs. BroncosJaguars won
- Jaguars vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 45.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 47.5Over won
- Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.