TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc034…3ff7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: College Football, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+65.9%+$85.66
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$249.8
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.92
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$57.59
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.01
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$293.77
Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$97.8
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$146.96
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$195.98
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+194.1%+$112.3
Spread: Ravens (-8.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$97.84
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$164.33
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$96.51
All 14 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+112.8%+$331
Spread: North Texas (-6.5)backed North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$177.04
Spread: Army (-9.5)backed Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
Connecticut vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+72.4%+$53.43
Spread: Pittsburgh (-9.5)backed Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$328.93
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-7.5)backed UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$148.02
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+85.2%+$102.2
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$163.93
Spread: TCU (-3.5)backed TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+117.4%+$230.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-74.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$77.86
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$156.37
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+100%+$48.41
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-7.5)backed Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$180.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$52.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+42.9%+$62.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.