TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Rams (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Rams, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,781,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,695,023

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,781,990 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Panthers53c1,551,458$822,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729,185.422025%5 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Rams47c1,421,690$666,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666,866.4727454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Rams47c250,000$116,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116,5003850%19 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Panthers54c226,263$122,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,081.181338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Panthers54c222,548$120,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,372.062528%7 W · 18 L-6.3wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-46.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Rams47c156,111$73,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,867.2524957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c45…0cbdbacked Rams48c150,347$72,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,166.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Panthers52c122,896$64,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,395.3212055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Rams46c117,066$54,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,362.1817454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Panthers53c113,742$60,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,458.7419152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Rams48c101,779$48,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,853.844143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Panthers52c86,361$44,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,453.463348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Rams46c69,227$32,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,075.4519553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Rams47c63,613$29,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,900.2428447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Panthers52c55,000$28,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,149.9916860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Panthers51c52,915$26,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,928.1953348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Rams48c41,600$19,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,9686764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Rams47c40,000$18,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,60016051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Rams46c38,070$17,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,512.145550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Panthers52c30,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,40024652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Panthers53c30,000$15,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,099.9917647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Panthers52c28,888$15,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,866.241747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rams47c25,555$12,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,010.857655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rams47c22,850$10,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,780.9983147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Panthers52c22,000$11,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,559.9918156.9%103 W · 78 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Rams47c21,470$10,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,09118650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Rams46c20,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,2001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Rams44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,799.9924056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Rams47c19,253$9,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,050.2211145.9%51 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Panthers53c18,211$9,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,589.169447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9315…a744backed Panthers51c17,000$8,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,3301560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00f4…df59backed Rams49c17,000$8,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,33010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Panthers53c16,059$8,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,547.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Panthers54c15,000$8,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,90035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Rams48c12,799$6,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,143.1720755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Rams48c12,000$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7605352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Rams48c10,000$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,749.987042.9%30 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9c…fe9dbacked Panthers52c9,615$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.38650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rams48c9,530$4,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,574.0254451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Panthers53c9,434$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,433.965658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Rams47c9,025$4,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,246.9226547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rams48c7,433$3,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,53777052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1656…6c04backed Rams47c7,408$3,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,481.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Panthers52c6,650$3,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,18625744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Rams47c6,383$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010547.6%50 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Rams47c6,339$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Panthers50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0002740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Panthers51c5,982$3,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,931.24641.3%19 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Panthers52c5,877$3,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,821.1922450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Panthers50c5,220$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.092450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Panthers67c5,002$3,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.145042%21 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Rams47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3507464.9%48 W · 26 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Rams42c4,763$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.355939%23 W · 36 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Rams48c4,032$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.842941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Rams46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8407152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Panthers50c3,292$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.9586547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Rams47c3,191$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…dc71backed Panthers53c3,048$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.34650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Rams47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41015252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Rams47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4104544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Rams48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4403148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Panthers53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.9914438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd339…d3a1backed Panthers51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.991154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+47%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb973…ff16backed Panthers52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.623240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Rams49c2,653$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30020443.6%89 W · 115 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Rams47c2,601$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.982231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Panthers52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20026649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Panthers60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00010648.1%51 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ead…7acebacked Rams48c2,369$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea89…0b5fbacked Rams47c2,123$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.975046%23 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Rams48c2,082$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.484934.7%17 W · 32 L-8.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Panthers54c2,037$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.042240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Panthers60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80017144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8289…2b2ebacked Rams49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9802955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Rams47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9402532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Panthers51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.78862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Rams48c1,901$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.671936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-41.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Rams48c1,896$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9104957.1%28 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Panthers51c1,799$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.5714035%49 W · 91 L-12.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Panthers46c1,710$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.738747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f6…c7c3backed Rams47c1,702$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Rams50c1,615$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.342045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rams48c1,562$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.381,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Panthers53c1,373$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.113444.1%15 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Rams42c1,309$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.628164.2%52 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+137.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Rams47c1,298$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6109855.1%54 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Rams47c1,277$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ec…f7e3backed Panthers39c1,244$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick35cpaid+67.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x14cf…0856backed Rams47c1,163$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.638451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x456b…09dcbacked Rams9c1,100$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Rams47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac2…727bbacked Rams48c1,033$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007337%27 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76f…1eacbacked Panthers51c1,029$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.412070%14 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+60.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Panthers40c1,012$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.315044.7%67 W · 83 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Rams47c1,000$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4747533.3%25 W · 50 L-8.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Rams47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4707534.7%26 W · 49 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xae90…f6c8backed Rams48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Panthers52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48026650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Panthers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50039242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rams46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46026648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.