TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe76f…1eac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 60 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2070%14 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+60.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12,801.5
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,915Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+127.3%+$2,437.27
Texans vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 19.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+81.9%+$862.96
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,027Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$1,205.61
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$504.41
Rams vs. Panthers: 1H O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$525
Browns vs. Bengals: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+117.4%+$82.17
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$4,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+525%+$21,525
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,065Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35%+$1,071.38
Spread: Broncos (-14.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,600
Browns vs. Bengals: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$1,500
Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+96.2%+$777.37
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,138
Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+59.3%+$302.29
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$10,408.16
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$598.04
Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$7,000
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+146.5%+$5,493.67
Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,510Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+99.9%+$5,501.76
All 20 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,057
Miami vs. Ole Miss: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,059
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 54.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$557.25
Spread: Texas State (-18.5)backed Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,558Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$3,558
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,886Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,672.49
O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$886.79
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,029
Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,045Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,004.41
Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$440
USC vs. TCU: O/U 56.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$37,000
O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20,380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+81.7%+$16,647.68
Virginia vs. Missouri: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,069Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+94.5%+$2,898.84
Georgia Tech vs. BYU: O/U 55.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,690Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$1,439.63
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$78.85
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 61.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$977
O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$9,218
California vs. Hawaii: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,951Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$2,616.92
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Oregon Ducks: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$226
Air Force Falcons vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 133.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$224.8
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$226
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$209.53
Vermont Catamounts vs. Albany Great Danes: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+117.4%+$487.17
Spread: Maryland Terrapins (-2.5)backed Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,001.81
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-3.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,800
Spread: VCU Rams (-4.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,855Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+57%+$2,195.59
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Milwaukee Panthers: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,050
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+86.9%+$955.96
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$809Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$809
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,637Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$3,637
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$3,466.67
Ducks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$1,594.77
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$431.32
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$337
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,057Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+100.3%+$4,067.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.