Champions League · resolved market
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-01-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf844cf88eecd30abea0d293cd33c27112ced492450a36d640379baf1fb68ea24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 3c | 23,387$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.99 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…87bcbacked Yes | 2c | 23,329$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 5c | 15,161$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 4c | 13,339$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.9 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 7c | 10,852$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 3c | 10,054$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.25 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…1eacbacked Yes | 4c | 9,948$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 4c | 7,092$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.65 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Yes | 4c | 5,000$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 4c | 3,463$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 4c | 2,221$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 4c | 1,999$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00af…626bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,505$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 4c | 1,480$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Yes | 7c | 1,344$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 4c | 1,340$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 5c | 1,250$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 4c | 1,203$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 4c | 1,158$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…da79backed Yes | 2c | 1,153$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 5c | 1,069$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 4c | 1,069$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 5c | 1,031$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 4c | 1,026$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 4c | 767.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 7c | 744.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…e6febacked Yes | 5c | 655.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 4c | 607.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 3c | 587.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 477.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Yes | 5c | 379.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 4c | 345.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 8c | 342.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 5c | 327.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 5c | 318.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 7c | 297.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fba…499dbacked Yes | 8c | 261.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2290…eddebacked Yes | 4c | 250.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0aa…0e79backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1d…0fc8backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…7998backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…1220backed Yes | 5c | 227.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1652…a501backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…6934backed Yes | 7c | 194.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2764…f8d1backed Yes | 5c | 194.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…c266backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-01-21?this page
- Will FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.