TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6dec…be12

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
195
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT5228.8%15 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+271.3%+$75.95
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.89
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.48
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$31.05
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+270.4%+$40.56
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+697.5%+$139.5
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+347.5%+$191.14
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+147.4%+$62.16
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41.69
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST4226.2%11 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Malmö FF win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+566.7%+$226.67
Will FCSB win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$101
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+212.5%+$85
Will FCSB win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+156.4%+$70.38
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+203%+$91.36
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will AEK vs. Universitatea Craiova CS end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$44.18
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+156.4%+$62.56
Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+316.7%+$63.33
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$51.11
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+566.7%+$113.33
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+426.3%+$85.26
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+185.7%+$54.21
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+207.4%+$104.98
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+157.7%+$31.54
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+488.2%+$195.29
Will Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+270.4%+$162.22
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$71.2
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14.71
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Dbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs Leo Team (BO3)backed NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+246.7%+$377.45
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+160.7%+$48.21
Counter-Strike: OG vs 500 (BO3)backed 500 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+410%+$82
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+95.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+90.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-20.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+108.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$40.86
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+170.3%+$22.14
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+212.5%+$31.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.