Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FCSB win on 2026-01-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c1f6eac239fd8bcf683bfa3cd59a87b88a2ee680b0f058f822d0de8f6a11a59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 18c | 5,671$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 16c | 4,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 4,100$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Yes | 16c | 1,676$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x780e…e99cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,596$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,013$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 17c | 1,006$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…2151backed Yes | 12c | 948.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 11c | 926.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 16c | 925.81$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 17c | 873.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.53 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 1c | 850$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 17c | 843.85$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.45 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef2…5f34backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 723.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad5…1d61backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553f…99b9backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56f…2c3bbacked Yes | 8c | 617.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 16c | 606.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 16c | 414.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 16c | 350$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6875…a145backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed Yes | 16c | 318.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 15c | 304.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 10c | 253.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7303…4a82backed Yes | 11c | 242.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…f3eabacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 14c | 143.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe680…c224backed Yes | 13c | 142.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 17c | 129.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked Yes | 17c | 102.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f99…c8debacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01f…574ebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed Yes | 14c | 86.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Yes | 16c | 64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…cfe3backed Yes | 18c | 56.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FCSB win on 2026-01-29?this page
- Will FCSB vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.