TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,869,910
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,880,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,869,910 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes64c2,440,823$1,567,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567,165.241172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No36c858,100$304,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553,474.32556%14 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No36c337,923$121,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216,278.95846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No36c300,000$108,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192,0001464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked No36c249,081$88,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160,402.881643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed No38c105,986$39,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,061.851338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No36c65,609$23,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,948.9611246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes62c58,932$36,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,734.4144952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No35c58,440$20,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,901.632755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked No36c57,893$20,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,051.481136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No34c46,505$16,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,471.8484850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No38c40,000$15,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,8005259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No36c40,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,600650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No37c39,900$14,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,231.991631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No36c37,776$13,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,302.564553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No36c31,000$11,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,73015947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No37c24,957$9,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,787.543,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c22,638$8,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,650.582,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No36c20,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,9001553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e42…a982backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes63c17,999$11,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,339.662642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No36c15,900$5,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,1762065%13 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+38.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No36c15,095$5,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,660.81957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked No36c15,035$5,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,622.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No36c15,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6002369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No38c13,718$5,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,496.0891950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No36c11,689$4,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,480.863452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No36c11,127$4,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,121.283450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No37c10,619$3,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,738.4813149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes61c10,606$6,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,469.933455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No36c10,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4008245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No36c9,999$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,399.362339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x072c…f037backed Yes63c8,730$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,500333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked No37c6,757$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,256.761241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa350…1f90backed No38c6,602$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,098.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No36c6,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,840944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No36c5,977$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,816.3935158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No36c5,024$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2205156.9%29 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No36c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2004427.3%12 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,05010960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed No38c5,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.98850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed No36c4,000$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5702152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No36c4,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5602744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Yes61c4,000$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,439.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Yes64c3,800$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4321513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-73.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No24c3,358$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5521241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes64c3,072$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9534067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9205545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8607963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9207143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No21c2,550$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.2410544.8%47 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes63c2,528$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.0919934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked No37c2,474$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.881020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-53.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes62c2,400$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80c7…5e36backed Yes63c2,381$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No37c2,293$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.820050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No36c2,119$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.2633055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed Yes64c2,066$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No38c2,022$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.678946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d8…3ce3backed Yes64c2,017$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2602142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No51c1,777$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.5476941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes28c1,666$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9410061%61 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes64c1,665$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.51742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked No62c1,655$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No37c1,590$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.535343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Yes63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No36c1,570$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.82958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes62c1,520$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.644955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes62c1,500$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93027939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93021925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed No38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No27c1,418$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.512545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes62c1,362$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.081747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked No39c1,300$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7931435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb429…66b4backed Yes79c1,260$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes27c1,240$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.7879532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No30c1,234$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.9813040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No39c1,072$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.791258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed No25c1,068$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Yes62c1,001$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.552540%10 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6308345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No36c900$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57612948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No36c900$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5768444%37 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes62c878.22$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.5874155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x741a…4dbebacked Yes76c823.18$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.62922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-66.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No36c800$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5129148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes65c769.43$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+20.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e4c…c962backed Yes78c765$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.65837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No42c748.11$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.4242844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No38c732$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes62c717.88$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.1510055%55 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes9c633.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604436.4%16 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Yes54c611.33$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.591050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No36c600$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3844634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3722951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked No38c590$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.83046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes64c542.37$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.6415376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed No43c500.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.715343.4%23 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.