TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4f91…40ad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst Serie A at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST4055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Samford Bulldogs vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Samford Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Samford Bulldogs vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$280.01
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+87.1%+$201.15
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+38.9%+$280
Michigan State Spartans vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$382.88
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+132.8%+$427.88
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$352.49
New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls Colonelsbacked New Orleans Privateers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+233.3%+$382.2
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+133.7%+$442.35
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakersbacked Chicago State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$37.8
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bullsbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$336
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$420
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. California-San Diego Tritonsbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$154.2
Northwestern Wildcats vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$564
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Jacksonville Dolphinsbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$119.82
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$287.54
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$648
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$545.53
Towson Tigers vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$367.5
Spread: Albany Great Danes (-3.5)backed Albany Great Danes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$245
Central Arkansas Bears vs. West Georgia Wolvesbacked Central Arkansas Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$450
Central Arkansas Bears vs. West Georgia Wolves: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+125.5%+$427.98
Spread: Florida Gators (-15.5)backed LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$375
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$135.66
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,154.06
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$499.5
Kings vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,823Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+28.2%+$514.27
Hornets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$345
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$404.99
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$110
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$780
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$380
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$390
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$215
Suns vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.97
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$390
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$712Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+40.8%+$291.02
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+63.9%+$194.99
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$350.94
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$548.47
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$520
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$87.62
Magic vs. Jazzbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$318.27
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$440
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+40%+$66.81
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$399.98
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$687.45
All 24 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$926Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$926.4
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+69.5%+$409.99
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$283.95
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+69.5%+$410
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+62.3%+$773.85
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$765
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$629.49
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$140.66
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$128
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$478.81
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$113.99
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$215
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$329.43
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs KOLESIE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$66.91
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+66.7%+$200
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30.89
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Ferybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$331.08
Australian Open Men's: Grigor Dimitrov vs Tomas Machacbacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$184
Australian Open Men's: Joao Fonseca vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$305
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Ugo Humbertbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$185
Australian Open Men's: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+44.9%+$155
Australian Open Men's: Quentin Halys vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$235
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Blockx vs Jaime Fariabacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$64.9
Australian Open Men's: Liam Draxl vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$237.8
Australian Open Men's: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+86.8%+$260.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+204.3%+$622.54
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$849Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$849.07
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$2,337.59
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$580
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$234
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$220
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$275
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$253.43
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+97%+$124.05
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick50cpaid-83.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$198
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$490
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$390
Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$452.16
Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$497.5
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$472.5
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$295.84
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$262.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,161
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$271.85
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$195
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$135
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$170
UFC 324: Pulyaev vs. Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Pulyaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$115
UFC 324: Krylov vs. Bukauskas (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$405
UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Perez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+165.5%+$467.48
All 8 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$405
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$399.52
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$285
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$196.43
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+33%+$159.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$740
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+72.4%+$210
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+48.2%+$396.12
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$376.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$366
Sydney FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$133
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+244.8%+$198.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+177.8%+$160
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$480
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$480
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$276.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$287.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$446.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.