WNBA · resolved market
Aces vs. Mercury
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05c96970bc4a4e547bad16096507710e758d91dbcf3043022dc3f15bce3350f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acesof Aces, Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $982,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $990,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $982,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Aces | 39c | 712,422$279,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432,504.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mercury | 60c | 87,498$52,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,809.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Mercury | 60c | 85,203$51,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,521.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Mercury | 60c | 78,927$47,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,622.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Mercury | 60c | 75,000$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,000 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Mercury | 62c | 56,000$34,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,720 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…8bf2backed Mercury | 62c | 55,000$34,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,097.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Mercury | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Mercury | 60c | 42,500$25,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Mercury | 62c | 31,000$19,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,100.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Mercury | 61c | 24,595$14,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,974.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Mercury | 65c | 23,893$15,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,503.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 63cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Mercury | 61c | 20,000$12,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Mercury | 60c | 15,205$9,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,140.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mercury | 36c | 12,624$4,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,522.54 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Mercury | 62c | 11,111$6,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,888.82 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mercury | 24c | 10,665$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.48 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mercury | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Mercury | 27c | 8,987$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Mercury | 54c | 8,779$4,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,775.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Mercury | 61c | 8,432$5,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,144.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Aces | 63c | 8,000$5,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mercury | 27c | 7,698$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.78 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mercury | 35c | 7,652$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.15 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Mercury | 54c | 6,685$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mercury | 61c | 6,500$3,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,964.99 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Mercury | 37c | 5,871$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mercury | 61c | 5,803$3,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,557.29 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Aces | 37c | 5,570$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,490.19 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Mercury | 62c | 5,347$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315.14 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mercury | 16c | 5,265$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.39 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Aces | 64c | 5,249$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Aces | 38c | 5,113$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,169.78 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mercury | 61c | 5,015$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Aces | 36c | 5,000$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mercury | 62c | 4,828$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Aces | 35c | 4,418$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.34 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Mercury | 61c | 4,224$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Mercury | 66c | 3,921$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…681ebacked Aces | 37c | 3,920$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mercury | 61c | 3,750$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Mercury | 62c | 3,655$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.1 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Aces | 57c | 3,518$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.68 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…dc00backed Aces | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…6b5abacked Mercury | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mercury | 60c | 2,605$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.21 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mercury | 61c | 2,481$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.68 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mercury | 30c | 2,275$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Aces | 40c | 2,125$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.14 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Aces | 48c | 2,043$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.72 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…18b7backed Mercury | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Aces | 51c | 1,975$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…9480backed Mercury | 65c | 1,923$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Mercury | 63c | 1,788$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd3…adf8backed Aces | 40c | 1,515$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Aces | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Mercury | 52c | 1,233$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Aces | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mercury | 38c | 1,174$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b77…449fbacked Mercury | 63c | 1,109$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Mercury | 43c | 1,094$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…6426backed Aces | 36c | 1,079$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Aces | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb313…f17bbacked Mercury | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Aces | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Aces | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3339…1db6backed Mercury | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mercury | 2c | 953.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Mercury | 26c | 917$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Mercury | 61c | 889$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +76%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Mercury | 61c | 841$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Mercury | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Aces | 38c | 799.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Mercury | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Aces | 40c | 757.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Mercury | 3c | 750$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mercury | 28c | 723.93$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Mercury | 61c | 657.79$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mercury | 61c | 656$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Aces | 71c | 645.21$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Aces | 67c | 643.39$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Mercury | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Aces | 36c | 612.93$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Mercury | 63c | 604.62$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Mercury | 65c | 572.31$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Mercury | 49c | 565.18$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…8eaabacked Mercury | 5c | 517.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Aces | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Mercury | 62c | 467$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.54 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Aces | 49c | 465$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Aces | 45c | 324.44$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Mercury | 61c | 314.31$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.73 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863c…3395backed Mercury | 64c | 312.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mercury | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Mercury | 60c | 299.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Mercury | 4c | 280$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Aces | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mercury | 45c | 263.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Aces | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Aces | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.