TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,186
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,186 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Astralis35c20,429$7,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,094.073,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION62c11,409$7,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,383.533,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf0e…1f6cbacked PARIVISION60c10,628$6,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,220.821020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-58.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed PARIVISION57c8,047$4,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,475.562846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…242abacked Astralis42c6,326$2,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,641.27966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Astralis35c5,145$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.7519949.7%99 W · 100 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Astralis45c4,415$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00032348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis38c3,500$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.84,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b0…f139backed PARIVISION62c3,500$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.976651.5%34 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked PARIVISION58c3,100$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.5628644.1%126 W · 160 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed Astralis39c3,097$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.837440.5%30 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Astralis42c1,672$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.1523932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x33f1…7a59backed PARIVISION64c1,548$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.518543.2%80 W · 105 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed PARIVISION59c1,493$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.2346949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Astralis34c1,460$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.022,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Astralis34c1,430$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.186129.5%18 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Astralis44c1,059$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.2545848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed Astralis10c1,020$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015812.1%7 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION58c934.8$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8238868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Astralis38c927.92$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.927834.6%27 W · 51 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Astralis41c902.44$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37023952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb70…7fabbacked PARIVISION65c843.66$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.36540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-40.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked PARIVISION59c800$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32634147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8df0…96a6backed PARIVISION55c772$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.279264.1%59 W · 33 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb8ca…2fbabacked PARIVISION57c756.7$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.711752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca47…3ef4backed PARIVISION58c750$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3155957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Astralis35c642.47$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.731,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed PARIVISION56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26458651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Astralis41c590.8$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.236038.3%23 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaa6…f3b0backed PARIVISION75c585.28$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.913675%102 W · 34 L+22.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed PARIVISION63c521.47$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.312752%66 W · 61 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked PARIVISION55c508.25$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.253056.7%17 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked Astralis42c505.37$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.3614144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked PARIVISION60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb454…8b1cbacked PARIVISION77c497.21$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1698…68e8backed PARIVISION65c459.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4511470.2%80 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9679…8e0dbacked Astralis7c455.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.954425%11 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed PARIVISION55c444$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.815743.3%68 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d11…a3b8backed Astralis30c410$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Astralis34c355.98$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1220243.6%88 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Astralis4c350.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1457322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Astralis37c350$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.555236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Astralis27c349.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.51,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis37c344.47$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.121,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked PARIVISION58c337$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.121,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked PARIVISION59c335.59$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5965650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked PARIVISION60c333.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8376748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fb…95fbbacked PARIVISION58c310.34$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.349353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Astralis21c292$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.71,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d7…082bbacked PARIVISION60c272.63$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.05683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+37.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bdb…5f54backed PARIVISION79c268.71$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.43366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick78cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11b4…7e7bbacked PARIVISION58c261.94$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.563571.4%25 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Astralis38c253.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.489151.6%47 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Astralis33c212.9$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.517625%19 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-56.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb876…ae6ebacked Astralis34c210.53$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabc8…fd71backed PARIVISION58c204.31$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.036558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed PARIVISION67c204.27$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4169863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Astralis17c199.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3447641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed PARIVISION79c192.94$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6341850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed PARIVISION59c186.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4423842.4%101 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed PARIVISION55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc46d…d906backed PARIVISION58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked PARIVISION58c171.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3915255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked PARIVISION59c170.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1265662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed PARIVISION71c155.2$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.231757.7%183 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Astralis34c155$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0260147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked Astralis41c150.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.926553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked PARIVISION55c147.27$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.274535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Astralis41c145$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4519455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed Astralis44c137.36$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.815048%24 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked PARIVISION73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.996264.5%40 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd084…27eabacked Astralis44c127.76$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.664546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a0…1be2backed PARIVISION61c127.23$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.088374.7%62 W · 21 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Astralis36c120$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5713740.9%56 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed PARIVISION75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3016950.9%86 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Astralis29c110$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.984037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed PARIVISION68c105$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.633949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7efc…bea6backed PARIVISION50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502931%9 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f47…fc05backed PARIVISION60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Astralis43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4322365%145 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43c8…0551backed PARIVISION61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Astralis16c93.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1569624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fe…54f8backed Astralis23c90.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.77843.6%34 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa811…011dbacked PARIVISION63c70.95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.952867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe9a…3487backed PARIVISION74c70$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Astralis43c63.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.369144%40 W · 51 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3094…d467backed PARIVISION59c62.35$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.721968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+30.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4833…17d5backed Astralis37c61.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237622.4%17 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Astralis27c59.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.560838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Astralis42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517659.7%105 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2093…ced6backed PARIVISION71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.342060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked PARIVISION60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2080741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed PARIVISION58c49.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2114645.2%66 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07cd…e51dbacked PARIVISION57c48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.562040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-30.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed PARIVISION56c46.18$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3242057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1ca…eb95backed PARIVISION64c45.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.043557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x921a…1bb0backed PARIVISION55c43.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.551050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2522…c593backed Astralis48c41.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.14837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed PARIVISION58c41.82$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.56785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x079a…8fbabacked Astralis33c36.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.122240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.