TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3094…d467

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3)backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Los Ratones vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+334.8%+$66.96
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3)backed OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+186%+$37.2
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+222.6%+$44.52
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+150%+$60
LoL: 3BL Esports vs Baam Esports (BO3)backed 3BL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+150%+$30
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+177.8%+$29.64
LoL: DN Freecs vs Dplus KIA (BO3)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30.95
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$17.61
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3)backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+30.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs AaB esport (BO3)backed AaB esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$53.21
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+32.6%+$6.51
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+70.2%+$25.72
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Bbacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20.25
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winnerbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.75
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Play-Inbacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Legacy (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
Counter-Strike: Players vs MAGICOS (BO3)backed Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Group Cbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+52.5%+$21.01
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+93%+$67.31
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+29.9%+$13.82
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs petardka (BO3)backed UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+127.3%+$15.27
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winnerbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs megoshort (BO3)backed BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+42.3%+$16.94
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Ursa (BO3)backed Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3)backed MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+150%+$24.17
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+220.6%+$88.24
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+404.6%+$161.85
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.16
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.74
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+315.4%+$194.81
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machacbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
ASB Classic: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$26.23
Adelaide International: Yulia Putintseva vs Dalma Galfibacked Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
ASB Classic: Fabian Marozsan vs Gael Monfilsbacked Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Adelaide International: Damir Dzumhur vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Tabilo (-1.5) vs Carabelli (+1.5)backed Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
ASB Classic: Alejandro Tabilo vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Adelaide International: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Kordabacked Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+163.2%+$65.26
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmanebacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hobart International: Emiliana Arango vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Adelaide International: Paula Badosa vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Adelaide International: Reilly Opelka vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-80%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Trump say "George Washington" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.86
Will Trump say "America / American" 35+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Trump say "Trans / Transgender" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$326.07
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.59
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$5.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.3
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05-1.09ºC in June 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+438.6%+$81.43
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00-1.04ºC in June 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.6
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.14ºC in June 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.43
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.79
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-74.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-38.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Western Carolina Catamountsbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17.82
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Morgan State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+258.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+258.2%+$111.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.