Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f0cca877c15fd727c236551901bcb86426c2b2d265980dba509dc890270dc40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatán Esportsof 100 Thieves, Leviatán Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Leviatán Esports | 43c | 1,600$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Leviatán Esports | 39c | 1,152$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…1f44backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 451.59$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.86 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked 100 Thieves | 13c | 300.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked 100 Thieves | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 100 Thieves | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 197.56$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Leviatán Esports | 47c | 174.41$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 161$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Leviatán Esports | 47c | 156.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked 100 Thieves | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 140$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Leviatán Esports | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Leviatán Esports | 42c | 78.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cc…354fbacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 33.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a48…6991backed Leviatán Esports | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…7e2ebacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 18.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3)100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.