Tennis · resolved market
Hobart International: Emiliana Arango vs Antonia Ruzic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeba5b58dc369e9a4a6fd88c1e6be9f7a73873a56bbc69e96cd3cd3777596f3d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ruzicof Arango, Ruzic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa302…b9a0backed Arango | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Ruzic | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.16 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Arango | 40c | 2,518$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Arango | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ruzic | 70c | 1,877$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.09 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Ruzic | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.16 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Arango | 48c | 1,570$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Arango | 51c | 1,558$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.48 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ruzic | 63c | 1,273$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.57 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Arango | 42c | 1,177$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.72 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ruzic | 79c | 1,132$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.35 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Ruzic | 59c | 1,049$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.96 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Arango | 21c | 994.81$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.78 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ruzic | 67c | 930.21$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.85 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Arango | 48c | 873.65$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.25 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9093backed Ruzic | 80c | 857.72$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.54 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Arango | 17c | 851.94$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.73 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e1…8b17backed Ruzic | 69c | 820.6$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Arango | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ruzic | 72c | 615.8$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.03 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Ruzic | 76c | 615.03$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.75 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ruzic | 73c | 551.72$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.18 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Arango | 37c | 547.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Arango | 20c | 469.39$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Arango | 63c | 415.2$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.46 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Arango | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70e8…6176backed Arango | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Arango | 27c | 364.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Arango | 19c | 362.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Arango | 19c | 360.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Arango | 35c | 345.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed Arango | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…f991backed Arango | 24c | 300.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ruzic | 69c | 281.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Arango | 19c | 233.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Arango | 22c | 217.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Ruzic | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Arango | 51c | 196.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Arango | 30c | 191.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arango | 32c | 183$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Arango | 19c | 170$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Arango | 33c | 169$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Arango | 29c | 114$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Ruzic | 44c | 111.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Ruzic | 57c | 103.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Arango | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…58dabacked Arango | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Ruzic | 44c | 85.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…351abacked Arango | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ruzic | 56c | 65.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…7ad1backed Arango | 63c | 62.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Arango | 46c | 59.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Ruzic | 64c | 59.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Ruzic | 48c | 58.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…8275backed Arango | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Ruzic | 66c | 53.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Arango | 39c | 50.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ruzic | 72c | 48.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Ruzic | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b18…786ebacked Arango | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Ruzic | 63c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed Arango | 52c | 38.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed Ruzic | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Arango | 37c | 34.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…d2fcbacked Ruzic | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Ruzic | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Arango | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 29.6%45 W · 107 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaf…9343backed Ruzic | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Arango | 40c | 28.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Ruzic | 72c | 26.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf1…03aebacked Ruzic | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Ruzic | 73c | 26.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…c526backed Ruzic | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…3ad4backed Ruzic | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a87…1dc9backed Ruzic | 55c | 21.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Ruzic | 77c | 15.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Ruzic | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hobart International: Emiliana Arango vs Antonia Ruzicthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Arango vs RuzicRuzic won
- Set Handicap: Ruzic (-1.5) vs Arango (+1.5)Ruzic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.