TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5744…9093

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT4946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruudbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$134.15
Miami Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Kigali: Filip Jianu vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$19
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$111.87
Dubai Tennis Championships: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Bublikbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.8
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Valentin Royerbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.56
Lille: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Chidekhbacked Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Qatar Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublevbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Qatar Open: Ugo Humbert vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elise Mertens vs Emma Navarrobacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$106.64
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+117.4%+$269.99
Tenerife 2: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luka Mikrutbacked Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+300%+$37.5
Rotterdam Open: Ugo Humbert vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Open Sud de France: Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobollibacked Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+36.3%+$32.38
Open Sud de France: Titouan Droguet vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+194.1%+$66
Open Sud de France: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+227.6%+$71.58
Open Sud de France: Hamad Medjedovic vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$64
Open Sud de France: Moise Kouame vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$246.58
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sara Bejlek vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$132
Open Sud de France: Valentin Royer vs Arthur Filsbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$43.99
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Clement Chidekh vs Moise Kouamebacked Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$89.8
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Andrea Vavassori vs Hugo Grenierbacked Grenier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.79
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+778%+$886.07
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$142.8
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+37%+$390.28
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,985Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,985.01
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$841Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$223.45
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,004.76
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$133
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$482.75
Iran strike on Qatar today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+87.3%+$46.6
Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+124%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyon win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+212.9%+$3,067.1
Will FCSB win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,078Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$378.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$993.88
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$783
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$829Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$291.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold hit $3,600 before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$329.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.