TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Open Sud de France, Qualification: Andrea Vavassori vs Hugo Grenier

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vavassoriof Vavassori, Grenier
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,282
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,282 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0457…4403backed Grenier18c7,985$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.696829.4%20 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd95c…f1d7backed Vavassori77c6,604$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.61872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Vavassori55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25018537.3%69 W · 116 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Vavassori70c3,972$2,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.912,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Grenier25c3,944$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007630.3%23 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Grenier39c3,298$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30048851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f58…6f3cbacked Grenier22c2,403$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5171241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grenier23c2,166$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.52,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Grenier23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.9822641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Grenier40c1,417$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.6776140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Grenier10c1,352$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.210815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+248.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Vavassori60c1,240$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.615860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecc2…eeefbacked Vavassori61c1,044$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.552365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1362…16ccbacked Grenier44c940.08$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.514540%18 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Vavassori77c928.35$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.4620844.2%92 W · 116 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Vavassori78c916.53$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0214766.7%98 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Vavassori59c882.13$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.8346553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Grenier37c861.53$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3204526.7%12 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…7ca0backed Vavassori56c706.07$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.97850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Vavassori80c683.72$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.948,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Grenier39c642.13$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.431,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Vavassori60c569.5$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.89242.4%39 W · 53 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed Vavassori77c480.52$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.522958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Grenier40c410$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16421338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Vavassori62c404.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.6563247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Vavassori62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2326158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Grenier5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206050%30 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Vavassori78c394.17$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7229553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Grenier33c375$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9497046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Vavassori61c368.85$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8537339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Grenier39c352$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.281,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Vavassori75c326.75$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.122,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Vavassori65c282.54$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3722337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Grenier21c262.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7821843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Vavassori50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1206339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Grenier40c220$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8842141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Vavassori57c218.47$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9318863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Vavassori76c200.66$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.16771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43b3…6193backed Vavassori59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4017…c25abacked Grenier40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Vavassori60c191$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.46050%30 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Grenier34c183$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.051,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Grenier28c178$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8411428.9%33 W · 81 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Grenier41c170.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7054348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Vavassori73c153.31$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.886,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Grenier25c151.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3867836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Grenier29c131.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5449143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Vavassori77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.911850.8%60 W · 58 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Vavassori77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872544%11 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Vavassori77c125.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.352,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617f…cde5backed Vavassori57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Grenier40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Grenier26c99.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.51020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Grenier46c97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0612752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x719d…8b6cbacked Grenier28c88.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.694231%13 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Grenier23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Vavassori68c82.85$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.293,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Vavassori61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.978767.8%59 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5130…d4bcbacked Vavassori80c81.9$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.38757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Grenier39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9004…1d2cbacked Grenier41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021455.1%118 W · 96 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Grenier36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3869429.8%207 W · 487 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x902c…9a43backed Grenier40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Vavassori60c68$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb69…ac1bbacked Grenier31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd4e…06c6backed Vavassori62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Grenier39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515751%80 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Grenier40c58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.225428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2663…d895backed Vavassori62c53.23$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Grenier39c50.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8960240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x828c…fb4cbacked Grenier24c50.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Grenier39c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Grenier41c47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.274,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Grenier44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Vavassori56c44.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.618551.4%95 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Vavassori59c44.1$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.113119.4%6 W · 25 L-7.6wins-0.25per pick44cpaid-68.7%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xfb41…618ebacked Vavassori57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861050%5 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2333…2873backed Vavassori62c43.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee26…3798backed Vavassori75c41.25$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.316258.1%36 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7b…cc20backed Vavassori61c40.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Vavassori60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9874…15d7backed Vavassori61c39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d9c…4bb6backed Vavassori76c37.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.93425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-67.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Grenier39c37.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.451,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Grenier41c36.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156940.6%28 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0bb…4c8abacked Vavassori60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3317158.5%100 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc13f…ca64backed Vavassori60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.333158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a4…89edbacked Vavassori61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.793360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a94…5ed2backed Vavassori61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5744…9093backed Grenier39c32.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.794946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe113…375dbacked Grenier40c31.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.491650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5818…a4bebacked Vavassori80c31.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.293100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdad…70acbacked Vavassori73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8875%6 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad38…a2b2backed Vavassori61c29.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Vavassori60c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.61637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99f4…335fbacked Vavassori62c28.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.924474.2%181 W · 63 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98df…41b7backed Grenier40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101560%9 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cea…5013backed Grenier40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Vavassori77c24.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5686470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33b7…c747backed Vavassori61c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.361464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.