TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x902c…9a43

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst Olympics at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT3855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.64
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$17.47
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$6.66
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$13.79
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.04
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$40.29
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$38.93
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.71
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$33.43
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+37%+$6.02
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+122.2%+$12.37
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$16.65
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+156.4%+$35.97
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.56
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.23
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+138.1%+$30.38
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.52
Utah vs. Predatorsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Bruins vs. Starsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$16.05
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+66.7%+$9.47
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22.9
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26
LoL: NOVEX vs Rising Gaming (BO1) - LJL Stage 1 Group Abacked NOVEX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$42.25
LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+170.3%+$44.27
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$17.91
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+354.5%+$42.55
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.78
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.45
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Heroic vs REKONIX (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$11.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Central Michigan vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.