NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x589b74a8c97aebaf0a6edd9849ea933cac8130ccfc992395b34e171476463b5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Grizzlies, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,035,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,045,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,035,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8764…604abacked Grizzlies | 25c | 451,804$112,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,655.17 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Grizzlies | 40c | 358,588$143,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143,995.41 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 24c | 332,820$80,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,611.67 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 75c | 124,449$93,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,121.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Warriors | 49c | 116,155$57,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,769.77 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 70c | 87,942$61,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,494.33 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Grizzlies | 24c | 80,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Warriors | 75c | 69,777$51,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,784.74 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 76c | 60,998$46,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,770.58 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Warriors | 76c | 60,000$45,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Warriors | 75c | 53,300$39,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,325 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Warriors | 48c | 50,808$24,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,420.03 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors | 75c | 48,371$36,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,242.69 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 40c | 47,939$19,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,831.48 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 74c | 45,837$34,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,725 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Warriors | 36c | 45,302$16,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,778.95 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Warriors | 75c | 42,435$31,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,619.82 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Warriors | 74c | 38,800$28,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,088 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd990…4866backed Warriors | 51c | 38,459$19,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,849.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 37,633$22,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,386.93 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Warriors | 76c | 35,833$27,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.89 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 75c | 33,264$24,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,395.16 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 29c | 32,957$9,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,458.38 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 70c | 32,469$22,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,747.46 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 38c | 30,942$11,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,227.96 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Grizzlies | 28c | 27,946$7,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,729.24 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 73c | 27,893$20,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,643.26 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Warriors | 33c | 26,557$8,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,861.64 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Grizzlies | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Warriors | 76c | 25,000$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.99 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Warriors | 48c | 24,801$11,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,960.69 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 53c | 24,757$13,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,681.53 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Warriors | 74c | 23,010$17,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,938.15 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 74c | 22,421$16,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,724.08 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 74c | 21,020$15,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,465.4 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Grizzlies | 27c | 20,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Warriors | 75c | 19,798$14,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.38 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Warriors | 73c | 18,669$13,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040.64 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 43c | 17,939$7,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,244.59 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Warriors | 71c | 15,052$10,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,365.1 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Grizzlies | 1c | 13,688$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.29 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Warriors | 70c | 13,610$9,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,031.34 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Warriors | 74c | 13,607$10,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.81 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Warriors | 74c | 12,718$9,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.65 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Warriors | 75c | 12,500$9,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.91 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Warriors | 75c | 12,497$9,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,172.23 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Warriors | 72c | 12,212$8,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.35 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…9550backed Warriors | 74c | 12,000$8,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Grizzlies | 25c | 10,852$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.09 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Warriors | 41c | 10,668$4,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,285.48 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Warriors | 75c | 10,507$7,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.82 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed Warriors | 76c | 10,342$7,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.08 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Warriors | 14c | 10,077$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,665.59 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Warriors | 29c | 10,000$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,059.35 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Warriors | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,899.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Warriors | 12c | 9,753$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,583.6 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Warriors | 40c | 9,674$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,823.3 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Warriors | 75c | 9,323$6,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.67 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Grizzlies | 27c | 8,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Grizzlies | 31c | 7,650$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.71 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Warriors | 40c | 7,631$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,577.17 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Warriors | 40c | 7,286$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,375.32 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 28c | 7,260$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,228.29 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Grizzlies | 39c | 7,187$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.98 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Grizzlies | 29c | 7,121$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.96 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Warriors | 76c | 6,626$5,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.23 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9550…0bd1backed Grizzlies | 46c | 6,557$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Grizzlies | 52c | 6,377$3,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,316 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 41c | 6,303$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,697.26 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Warriors | 76c | 6,275$4,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.75 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Grizzlies | 28c | 6,261$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.03 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Grizzlies | 57c | 6,177$3,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.44 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Warriors | 77c | 6,000$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Grizzlies | 29c | 5,871$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.5 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Warriors | 61c | 5,843$3,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.8 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Grizzlies | 29c | 5,779$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.92 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…31dfbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d2…66e9backed Warriors | 72c | 5,287$3,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.36 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Grizzlies | 49c | 5,200$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.97 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 46c | 5,190$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.86 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Grizzlies | 29c | 5,049$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.72 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Grizzlies | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Grizzlies | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Warriors | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Grizzlies | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 28c | 5,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Grizzlies | 24c | 4,999$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.76 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…e176backed Warriors | 77c | 4,951$3,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.65 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…12b2backed Grizzlies | 24c | 4,951$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.12 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Grizzlies | 50c | 4,931$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.46 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 34c | 4,837$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,176.48 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Warriors | 66c | 4,636$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.64 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Warriors | 77c | 4,416$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.58 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Warriors | 42c | 4,127$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.55 | 295 | 47.5%140 W · 155 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Warriors | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Warriors | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Warriors | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d1…aefbbacked Grizzlies | 29c | 3,900$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.05 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Grizzlies | 54c | 3,692$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 3,628$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.72 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Warriorsthis page
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Warriors (-9.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.