NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2b64a3f7a6785a9bfa602f904f1a28194fe787137369e1fb055b626a880c04e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Warriors, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $472,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $506,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $472,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 53c | 250,695$132,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118,341.31 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Warriors | 47c | 192,126$90,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,299 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Grizzlies | 51c | 59,263$30,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,954.44 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 33,333$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,333.33 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Warriors | 46c | 32,271$14,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,844.81 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Grizzlies | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Warriors | 47c | 15,831$7,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,440.47 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 49c | 15,500$7,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,595 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Warriors | 48c | 12,437$5,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,990 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Warriors | 49c | 12,245$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Warriors | 48c | 10,625$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors | 47c | 10,447$4,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,905.7 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Warriors | 48c | 10,415$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.04 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Warriors | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Grizzlies | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.99 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Warriors | 48c | 8,727$4,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,189 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Warriors | 49c | 7,955$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…3794backed Warriors | 50c | 7,760$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Warriors | 49c | 7,682$3,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Warriors | 48c | 7,292$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…b0ffbacked Warriors | 49c | 5,510$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Warriors | 49c | 5,469$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Warriors | 48c | 5,277$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Warriors | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 4,816$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 4,606$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.47 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Warriors | 48c | 4,129$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Warriors | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Warriors | 49c | 3,920$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.83 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 39c | 3,788$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f8…b76fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 3,626$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.56 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Warriors | 48c | 2,914$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 2,631$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.73 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors | 49c | 2,245$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Warriors | 48c | 2,036$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.24 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 46c | 2,024$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Warriors | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Grizzlies | 60c | 1,809$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Warriors | 4c | 1,713$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Warriors | 48c | 1,352$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.96 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Warriors | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 1,153$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.85 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,089$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.12 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bd…8733backed Warriors | 10c | 1,046$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Grizzlies | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Warriors | 49c | 819.8$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.7 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Warriors | 48c | 813.13$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.3 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Grizzlies | 53c | 747$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.09 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Grizzlies | 52c | 577$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.96 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Grizzlies | 54c | 538.14$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.73 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 69c | 519.32$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.63 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Grizzlies | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Warriors | 47c | 428.17$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Warriors | 47c | 428.14$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.23 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 385$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.85 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Warriors | 49c | 380$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 33c | 379.59$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Grizzlies | 53c | 379.25$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.25 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Grizzlies | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…8afbbacked Warriors | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Grizzlies | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Warriors | 49c | 295.9$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 66c | 292.87$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Warriors | 49c | 279.96$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Grizzlies | 60c | 246.27$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.27 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Grizzlies | 55c | 238.82$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.47 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Warriors | 45c | 228.82$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Grizzlies | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 243 | 32.9%80 W · 163 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Grizzlies | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Grizzlies | 52c | 191.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 190.08$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Grizzlies | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Grizzlies | 53c | 154.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Grizzlies | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Warriors | 8c | 145.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Warriors | 48c | 135$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Grizzlies | 51c | 114.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Grizzlies | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Grizzlies | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Warriors | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Warriors | 29c | 108.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Warriors | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Warriors | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Grizzlies | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Warriors | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Grizzlies | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec8…6e60backed Grizzlies | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Warriors | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Warriors | 47c | 97.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…57f0backed Grizzlies | 52c | 96.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb774…7a01backed Grizzlies | 53c | 95.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 93.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x096b…8eafbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Grizzlies | 53c | 81.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Warriors | 49c | 75.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-9.5)this page
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.