TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcbbc…8afb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 50 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.57
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$101.34
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$275.91
LoL: Cães de Água vs Vantex Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Group Cbacked Cães de Água · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$47
LoL: GTZ Esports vs Cuban Raft Raiders (BO1) - LPLOL Group Cbacked GTZ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$372.27
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$57
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$39.03
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$506
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$365.44
LoL: Baam Esports vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - Arabian League Elimination Phasebacked Anubis Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+139.2%+$212.68
LoL: Lille Esport vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+37%+$39.15
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs BK ROG Esports (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$250.03
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+203%+$243.64
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$203.35
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$137.95
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$600
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100%+$285
LoL: Lille Esport vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Groupbacked Lille Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$61.75
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+276.3%+$516.7
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$327.27
LoL: Team Phoenix vs PCIFIC (BO3) - TCL Group Abacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+42.3%+$59.2
LoL: LEO vs DMG Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked DMG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$44.06
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$58
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.77
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$299.59
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$266.37
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+37%+$71.99
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$41.62
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$210.49
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$95.68
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$38.59
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$82.98
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$59.34
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+100%+$37.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$195
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$50.4
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$57.77
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Alliance (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring BLAST Premier Rising Event Playoffsbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$38.65
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$147
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$146.99
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$147
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$142.07
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+105.8%+$290.33
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$288.24
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$292.71
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+97.3%+$97.26
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$320.64
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+107.2%+$486.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$188
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.