CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5549bd076b80ee3a8e874f2b21ccdc45834801e508d5c320008f13f6bb334b96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 1c | 4,630$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3508…9babbacked Under | 48c | 2,919$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 48c | 2,681$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Under | 48c | 382.47$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.58 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 78c | 162.18$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…8afbbacked Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 124.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Over | 54c | 122.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 70c | 106.39$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfb…e887backed Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 46c | 98.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Over | 50c | 98.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee3…31a5backed Over | 52c | 88.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 52c | 82.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…8b79backed Over | 51c | 62.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c94…9f7abacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 50c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…0443backed Under | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 66c | 43.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff0…6e1bbacked Over | 50c | 40.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8305…7114backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…5886backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…8a33backed Over | 54c | 35.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…ebcabacked Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2c…abc9backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked Over | 54c | 26.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…45dbbacked Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Under | 45c | 22.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…f556backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…93eabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…2f6ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.