TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbc2c…abc9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4669.6%32 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$65.19
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$59.1
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.16
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+60%+$6
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.94
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.94
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$23.96
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.03
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.89
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$38.52
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$29.97
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$183.64
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$200.14
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 4ikibamboni (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$28.37
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.57
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.11
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.74
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$37.03
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+33.3%+$9.02
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+72.9%+$53.55
All 24 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-50.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+37%+$14.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.