CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27ceebf061b2190aae38994b257b599a1bd4af26025a09f8609026c538741fe6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $443,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $520,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $443,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68c0…c1fbbacked Spirit | 0c | 30,955$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 26,666$6,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,532.79 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked 100 Thieves | 76c | 19,840$14,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,855.22 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Spirit | 77c | 15,000$11,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,550 | 780 | 52.8%412 W · 368 L | +28.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Spirit | 76c | 13,158$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Spirit | 77c | 11,996$9,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,237 | 1,549 | 51.3%795 W · 754 L | -11.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 10,175$4,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,371.11 | 606 | 39.9%242 W · 364 L | -14.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked 100 Thieves | 33c | 10,157$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,829.74 | 416 | 40.4%168 W · 248 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Spirit | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Spirit | 57c | 9,615$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500.43 | 335 | 52.5%176 W · 159 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed 100 Thieves | 24c | 9,367$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,118.62 | 761 | 50.7%386 W · 375 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Spirit | 33c | 9,156$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042.38 | 229 | 40.6%93 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 9,005$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,126.19 | 2,412 | 45.4%1,095 W · 1,317 L | -62.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit | 42c | 8,784$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,682.85 | 1,273 | 47.1%600 W · 673 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Spirit | 38c | 8,451$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250.22 | 903 | 47.2%426 W · 477 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Spirit | 38c | 7,906$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.22 | 888 | 48.3%429 W · 459 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit | 25c | 7,875$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 40c | 7,619$3,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.04 | 1,627 | 45.7%743 W · 884 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 6,935$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,082.23 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 6,312$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,842.89 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 6,155$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.56 | 187 | 61%114 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Spirit | 76c | 6,131$4,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,659.57 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…873ebacked 100 Thieves | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Spirit | 78c | 4,583$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.83 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Spirit | 51c | 4,539$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.98 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked 100 Thieves | 28c | 4,293$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.71 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Spirit | 48c | 3,986$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.14 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Spirit | 77c | 3,800$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926 | 1,205 | 54.5%657 W · 548 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 3,752$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.89 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…fda7backed Spirit | 37c | 3,736$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.3 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit | 30c | 3,652$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.52 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Spirit | 77c | 3,163$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.51 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 3,118$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.85 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Spirit | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spirit | 77c | 2,657$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.22 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked 100 Thieves | 23c | 2,610$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.7 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Spirit | 78c | 2,567$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 209 | 60.8%127 W · 82 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 22c | 2,249$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.43 | 2,120 | 41.9%889 W · 1,231 L | -47.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 2,210$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.9 | 825 | 43%355 W · 470 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 2,190$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314 | 272 | 56.6%154 W · 118 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.91 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed 100 Thieves | 24c | 2,053$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.42 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 2,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed 100 Thieves | 22c | 2,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.96 | 387 | 45.7%177 W · 210 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 1,990$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.06 | 385 | 59.5%229 W · 156 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 1,986$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.19 | 625 | 34.9%218 W · 407 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed 100 Thieves | 25c | 1,880$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 1,714$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.83 | 2,536 | 43.1%1,094 W · 1,442 L | +44.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…b406backed Spirit | 22c | 1,660$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.04 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 30c | 1,568$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 1,634 | 44.7%731 W · 903 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 1,460$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.32 | 473 | 46.7%221 W · 252 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Spirit | 26c | 1,446$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 196 | 36.7%72 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Spirit | 41c | 1,379$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.14 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 1,305$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.33 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…7634backed Spirit | 55c | 1,274$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 1,255$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.53 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 1,250$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.5 | 1,432 | 33.6%481 W · 951 L | +41.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Spirit | 80c | 1,182$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.03 | 1,683 | 47%791 W · 892 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Spirit | 33c | 1,178$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.27 | 3,319 | 45.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L | -87.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Spirit | 40c | 1,046$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.13 | 1,042 | 53.1%553 W · 489 L | +62.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed Spirit | 54c | 1,034$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.13 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…c3d9backed 100 Thieves | 25c | 1,023$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.13 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…b665backed Spirit | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Spirit | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x109f…1691backed Spirit | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed 100 Thieves | 24c | 992.5$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.3 | 365 | 38.9%142 W · 223 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 974.95$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.72 | 978 | 40.7%398 W · 580 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 974.57$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.92 | 175 | 49.7%87 W · 88 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5233…eb29backed Spirit | 57c | 971.01$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit | 17c | 965.67$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.93 | 1,069 | 49.3%527 W · 542 L | +40.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 100 Thieves | 19c | 914.91$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.08 | 2,691 | 30.7%826 W · 1,865 L | -110.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 913.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.29 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…1101backed Spirit | 77c | 900$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Spirit | 12c | 859.64$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 1,673 | 32.7%547 W · 1,126 L | -48.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 844.27$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.72 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7429backed 100 Thieves | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked 100 Thieves | 76c | 811.47$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.16 | 2,237 | 43.2%966 W · 1,271 L | -70.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked 100 Thieves | 24c | 799.71$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.78 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spirit | 54c | 786.3$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.47 | 2,472 | 44.5%1,101 W · 1,371 L | -68.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed 100 Thieves | 22c | 760$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.8 | 339 | 32.2%109 W · 230 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 751.95$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.69 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed 100 Thieves | 25c | 723.8$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.09 | 561 | 32.6%183 W · 378 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Spirit | 27c | 718.65$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.19 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 711.26$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.67 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Spirit | 75c | 710.8$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.1 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5237…b12cbacked Spirit | 10c | 699.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Spirit | 52c | 650$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.44 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Spirit | 45c | 648.49$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.05 | 2,441 | 42.9%1,047 W · 1,394 L | -72.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 631.99$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.31 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Spirit | 47c | 629.46$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.93 | 2,589 | 41.2%1,066 W · 1,523 L | -123.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Spirit | 33c | 628.15$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.36 | 2,192 | 47.4%1,040 W · 1,152 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Spirit | 76c | 626.58$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.25 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed 100 Thieves | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked 100 Thieves | 24c | 596$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.96 | 556 | 34.7%193 W · 363 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 578.09$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.13 | 490 | 39.6%194 W · 296 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked 100 Thieves | 24c | 541.64$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.65 | 523 | 49.3%258 W · 265 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…6e14backed Spirit | 47c | 530$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Spirit | 61c | 527.87$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 521.29$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.29 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed Spirit | 42c | 507.04$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.92 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-9.5) vs 100 Thieves (+9.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.