CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e97cbf73d9bcacc518bef9c09f08b404bbafe3a335bd44ff32ca2ecb7cd2f9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof 100 Thieves, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,175,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,261,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,175,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 50,000$16,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,998.8 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Spirit | 66c | 46,826$30,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,989.21 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked 100 Thieves | 15c | 46,000$6,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,714.31 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed 100 Thieves | 12c | 44,007$5,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,106.93 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Spirit | 68c | 41,162$27,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,236.35 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed 100 Thieves | 13c | 38,364$5,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,154.51 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 32,444$4,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,659 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 30,011$9,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,806.28 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Spirit | 67c | 29,467$19,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,765.57 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked 100 Thieves | 34c | 26,807$9,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,044.61 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked 100 Thieves | 15c | 25,833$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 100 Thieves | 20c | 25,112$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,979.8 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 23,116$6,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,206.84 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spirit | 72c | 20,903$15,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,852.88 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 20,307$5,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,387.23 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked 100 Thieves | 16c | 18,336$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.76 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 16,334$5,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,624.96 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 15,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.99 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Spirit | 66c | 14,601$9,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,034.04 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Spirit | 66c | 13,333$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,533.21 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked 100 Thieves | 28c | 13,087$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Spirit | 66c | 12,222$8,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,155.48 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed 100 Thieves | 22c | 11,225$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.94 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spirit | 76c | 10,108$7,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.94 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…bf3abacked Spirit | 73c | 9,979$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.67 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Spirit | 66c | 9,573$6,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,254.72 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…76b9backed 100 Thieves | 0c | 7,056$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Spirit | 72c | 6,946$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.63 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed 100 Thieves | 9c | 6,194$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541 | 357 | 39.2%140 W · 217 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Spirit | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Spirit | 69c | 6,000$4,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.99 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…100fbacked Spirit | 68c | 5,904$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.63 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked 100 Thieves | 4c | 5,800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.14 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad6…464cbacked 100 Thieves | 3c | 5,702$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.68 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves | 29c | 5,318$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.18 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked 100 Thieves | 17c | 5,041$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.97 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed 100 Thieves | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 4,978$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.22 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked 100 Thieves | 16c | 4,933$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.56 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 4,750$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.5 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 4,706$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed Spirit | 72c | 4,538$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.04 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves | 17c | 4,480$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.59 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed 100 Thieves | 24c | 4,427$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.48 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Spirit | 66c | 4,410$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.4 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves | 17c | 4,391$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.42 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked 100 Thieves | 21c | 4,386$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.32 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 4,297$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.14 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked 100 Thieves | 17c | 4,292$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.95 | 478 | 36.8%176 W · 302 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Spirit | 76c | 4,109$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.5 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spirit | 79c | 4,095$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.43 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6e…b5bcbacked 100 Thieves | 25c | 4,012$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Spirit | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 3,897$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.4 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves | 31c | 3,656$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.35 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked 100 Thieves | 19c | 3,633$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.83 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932c…8658backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 3,610$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.8 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Spirit | 77c | 3,554$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.46 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed 100 Thieves | 21c | 3,526$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…b29fbacked 100 Thieves | 9c | 3,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 3,165$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.44 | 967 | 40.7%394 W · 573 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 100 Thieves | 16c | 3,160$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.43 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked 100 Thieves | 5c | 3,067$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 289 | 35.3%102 W · 187 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…2ce6backed 100 Thieves | 26c | 3,037$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.76 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 3,020$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.44 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x322d…61f5backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.96 | 270 | 45.9%124 W · 146 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 2,973$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.7 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…cfd7backed Spirit | 68c | 2,942$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.18 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 2,922$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.26 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe816…1b93backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 2,896$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spirit | 72c | 2,838$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.55 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 2,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…180ebacked 100 Thieves | 17c | 2,789$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed 100 Thieves | 31c | 2,507$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.72 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…5c91backed 100 Thieves | 8c | 2,478$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.7 | 126 | 27%34 W · 92 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed 100 Thieves | 26c | 2,431$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.34 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +12.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 2,359$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.42 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 100 Thieves | 13c | 2,239$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.63 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed 100 Thieves | 26c | 2,202$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked 100 Thieves | 18c | 2,117$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.94 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…c3d9backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 2,080$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.69 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 2,076$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.32 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…73cbbacked 100 Thieves | 16c | 2,044$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 2,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…a8a7backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 1,926$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.14 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed 100 Thieves | 22c | 1,852$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 151 | 33.1%50 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Spirit | 75c | 1,774$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.63 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Spirit | 72c | 1,770$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Spirit | 74c | 1,754$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…3240backed 100 Thieves | 10c | 1,683$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Spirit | 66c | 1,683$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.08 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x185a…5104backed 100 Thieves | 22c | 1,671$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.84 | 67 | 14.9%10 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Spirit | 68c | 1,627$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.92 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 1,624$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 1,622$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.69 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked 100 Thieves | 7c | 1,600$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed 100 Thieves | 25c | 1,508$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.78 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…873ebacked 100 Thieves | 33c | 1,503$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.99 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-9.5) vs 100 Thieves (+9.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.