CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab4fa059b04e7221cf2569e9545e341d36ffa2297fc258a90b7863f546e116c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof Spirit, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Spirit | 56c | 15,000$8,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,349.97 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 8,279$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,603.93 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Spirit | 61c | 8,228$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 61c | 5,853$3,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562.69 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Spirit | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 4,221$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.94 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…873ebacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 3,867$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.11 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 100 Thieves | 39c | 2,886$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.17 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Spirit | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked 100 Thieves | 43c | 2,341$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.19 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed Spirit | 59c | 2,129$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.82 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 2,050$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 2,005$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.6 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spirit | 59c | 2,000$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.96 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spirit | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.99 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 1,999$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.58 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spirit | 52c | 1,802$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.85 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 1,735$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.29 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 1,720$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.79 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 1,667$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.12 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 1,298$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.52 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…280ebacked Spirit | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.99 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 1,000$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.63 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed Spirit | 59c | 999.98$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 904.3$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.58 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 888$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.92 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 100 Thieves | 39c | 639.49$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.89 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 621.21$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.21 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Spirit | 59c | 579.63$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.98 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 511.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.24 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 510$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Spirit | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 475.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.34 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…8bf1backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 454.76$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.76 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…9c27backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 450.77$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.95 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 449.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…a67cbacked Spirit | 67c | 405.93$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.21 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Spirit | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…bde0backed Spirit | 59c | 380.77$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.65 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 377.34$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.19 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Spirit | 58c | 352.43$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.5 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…2c88backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 345.59$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.53 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Spirit | 59c | 340.34$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked 100 Thieves | 39c | 300$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.44 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed Spirit | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Spirit | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed1c…494dbacked Spirit | 60c | 230.83$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Spirit | 59c | 220.3$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…a142backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 210.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.93 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Spirit | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 199.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Spirit | 61c | 199.77$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Spirit | 58c | 198.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked Spirit | 60c | 179.9$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Spirit | 61c | 170$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 381 | 57.7%220 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Spirit | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Spirit | 59c | 164.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Spirit | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 62.4%133 W · 80 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spirit | 38c | 159.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…e430backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Spirit | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2c…f0d6backed Spirit | 54c | 143.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…9ff4backed Spirit | 58c | 130$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Spirit | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…50fcbacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Spirit | 9c | 119.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 280 | 37.9%106 W · 174 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 106.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Spirit | 61c | 100.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Spirit | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…3e90backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked 100 Thieves | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 105 | 61%64 W · 41 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcedf…0155backed Spirit | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Spirit | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Spirit | 56c | 89.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…b83cbacked Spirit | 60c | 73.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 71.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 71.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…4b8abacked Spirit | 45c | 69.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…16b2backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 69.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…6b60backed Spirit | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 67.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 67.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…0ef8backed Spirit | 59c | 66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…2489backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 212 | 52.8%112 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Spirit | 27c | 54.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e78…fb29backed Spirit | 56c | 51.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-9.5) vs 100 Thieves (+9.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.