CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d0334c303904f270732a09e1f4fcd1792a9adac484132c8913ca373f7950c1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof 100 Thieves, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $472,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $524,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $472,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spirit | 57c | 25,566$14,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,885.17 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Spirit | 72c | 20,228$14,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,664.37 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 15,311$5,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,038.68 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 15,240$6,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,106.71 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Spirit | 57c | 14,782$8,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,368.97 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 14,573$6,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,114.54 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit | 47c | 10,555$4,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,610.19 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Spirit | 66c | 10,139$6,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.48 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 100 Thieves | 7c | 9,241$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.15 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 9,232$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,711 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 8,533$4,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,566.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Spirit | 62c | 6,977$4,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.09 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Spirit | 68c | 5,588$3,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.98 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Spirit | 71c | 5,500$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.99 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 5,329$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.2 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Spirit | 47c | 4,683$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.76 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Spirit | 46c | 4,301$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.4 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Spirit | 73c | 3,977$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.49 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 3,507$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…2fa8backed 100 Thieves | 1c | 3,391$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 3,359$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 3,299$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.22 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Spirit | 56c | 3,095$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.44 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Spirit | 58c | 2,771$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spirit | 69c | 2,400$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.03 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 100 Thieves | 26c | 2,351$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.15 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked 100 Thieves | 29c | 2,259$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.82 | 478 | 36.8%176 W · 302 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93df…7306backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 2,250$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 2,250$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 2,090$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.06 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 2,080$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.64 | 373 | 46.4%173 W · 200 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 2,075$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.58 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spirit | 24c | 1,944$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.6 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 57c | 1,925$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.51 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322d…61f5backed 100 Thieves | 26c | 1,924$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 1,893$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.43 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 1,855$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.85 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 1,776$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.92 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked 100 Thieves | 19c | 1,766$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.38 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 1,738$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.79 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Spirit | 53c | 1,686$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.56 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Spirit | 50c | 1,621$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.55 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 1,530$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.5 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked 100 Thieves | 24c | 1,500$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.5 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spirit | 67c | 1,473$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.15 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 1,423$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.06 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…e6a6backed Spirit | 36c | 1,388$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.91 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 1,364$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked 100 Thieves | 76c | 1,350$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.99 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 1,273$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.44 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…7634backed Spirit | 79c | 1,264$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.45 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spirit | 46c | 1,220$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.74 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…8bd4backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 1,190$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.1 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed 100 Thieves | 31c | 1,111$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.27 | 604 | 34.1%206 W · 398 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06f…884cbacked Spirit | 57c | 1,085$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Spirit | 48c | 1,056$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.59 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…3c4cbacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 1,055$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.82 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Spirit | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d89cbacked 100 Thieves | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Spirit | 71c | 999.98$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed 100 Thieves | 21c | 966.66$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.65 | 717 | 39.6%284 W · 433 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked 100 Thieves | 43c | 930.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Spirit | 71c | 922.6$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.55 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Spirit | 66c | 901.93$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.66 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…06d6backed 100 Thieves | 24c | 900.69$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit | 66c | 890.76$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.33 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed Spirit | 72c | 889.03$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.18 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 884.13$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Spirit | 74c | 882.5$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.45 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 803$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.64 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked 100 Thieves | 29c | 776.33$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…1c7dbacked Spirit | 74c | 755.96$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.35 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 713.72$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.5 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 704.29$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.86 | 380 | 54.5%207 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit | 59c | 700$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 751 | 45.4%341 W · 410 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 699.98$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 687.85$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.99 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…c3d9backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 686.71$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.92 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 666.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 650.79$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.09 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Spirit | 49c | 650.45$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.92 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Spirit | 51c | 575.42$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.71 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 572.39$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.47 | 1,083 | 54.2%587 W · 496 L | +39.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Spirit | 73c | 561.98$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.73 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Spirit | 72c | 555$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1493…41acbacked Spirit | 74c | 541.43$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.12 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7429backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked 100 Thieves | 26c | 512$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.68 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…6a24backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 506.17$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.79 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Spirit | 62c | 503.63$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.63 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked 100 Thieves | 39c | 501.08$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.33 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Spirit | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Spirit | 56c | 472.08$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.57 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 460.29$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-9.5) vs 100 Thieves (+9.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.