CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d648060ed2bff668648bbee1cfddde8ba729980f63d188dc7e28fbf908794c5

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $17,938
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $22,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,938 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd619…c461backed Under	63c	3,804$2,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,384.32	288	43.1%124 W · 164 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Over	38c	2,026$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,256.12	325	52.6%171 W · 154 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a1…e26abacked Over	36c	1,111$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$711.11	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+5.7wins	+0.22per pick	40cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Over	35c	1,000$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650	158	38%60 W · 98 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x639e…d914backed Over	34c	988.27$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$653.83	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Under	65c	917.7$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.64	1,083	42.1%456 W · 627 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over	37c	877.8$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.77	1,157	48.2%558 W · 599 L	+3.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Over	38c	744.16$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.21	1,033	53.2%550 W · 483 L	+64.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	63c	668.66$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.35	619	48%297 W · 322 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	37c	425$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.08	495	36.4%180 W · 315 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under	65c	403$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.95	232	44.8%104 W · 128 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	63c	391.99$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.4	447	47.2%211 W · 236 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under	34c	332.53$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.65	1,650	32.7%540 W · 1,110 L	-49.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	58c	322.42$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.63	1,630	43.2%704 W · 926 L	-32.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c81…5518backed Over	44c	315$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.4	120	49.2%59 W · 61 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Under	60c	300$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	72	36.1%26 W · 46 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2739…1a9dbacked Over	37c	260.67$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.15	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Over	51c	254.09$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.57	721	39.7%286 W · 435 L	-25.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6668…9b4dbacked Under	56c	249.99$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over	41c	243.63$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.86	1,779	59.1%1,052 W · 727 L	+104.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Over	38c	208.01$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.01	133	32.3%43 W · 90 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under	53c	206.93$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.71	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under	75c	171.26$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.45	350	54.6%191 W · 159 L	+17.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under	63c	159.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.23	2,009	53.9%1,082 W · 927 L	+7.6wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under	62c	159.1$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.6	5,050	55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L	+117.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under	62c	159.09$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.63	597	55.4%331 W · 266 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Under	64c	156.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over	35c	155.05$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.78	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Under	64c	149.41$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.62	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Over	36c	138.89$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.89	193	47.2%91 W · 102 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Under	65c	133.31$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.65	324	58%188 W · 136 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd413…f862backed Under	64c	120$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.8	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Under	64c	109.41$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.02	90	44.4%40 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under	65c	107.28$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.64	111	55%61 W · 50 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	62c	106$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.79	1,848	47.6%879 W · 969 L	-55.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under	61c	102.01$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.23	1,310	53.7%703 W · 607 L	+32.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over	36c	99.99$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.99	347	42.9%149 W · 198 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	47c	92.77$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.45	2,326	45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Under	64c	86.84$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.58	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.8wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	60c	84.51$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.78	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Over	80c	81$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	456	46.9%214 W · 242 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	39c	64$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.04	277	53.8%149 W · 128 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Over	43c	61.42$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.01	260	48.5%126 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under	58c	60.05$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.83	224	47.8%107 W · 117 L	+9.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb438…a67cbacked Under	21c	56.13$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Under	64c	54.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.99	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7637…a123backed Over	37c	52.43$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.03	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under	30c	50.4$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	351	41.6%146 W · 205 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Under	64c	50$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbba7…1e07backed Under	64c	45.31$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Over	58c	43.4$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.4	485	66.2%321 W · 164 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…e27cbacked Over	45c	42$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	81	59.3%48 W · 33 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	41c	41.21$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.98	1,676	51.1%857 W · 819 L	+21.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b6…eec6backed Over	44c	41.02$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.02	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42e9…80c7backed Over	43c	40.23$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.93	67	53.7%36 W · 31 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under	61c	38.28$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.31	130	50.8%66 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over	38c	37$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.99	807	40.3%325 W · 482 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Under	64c	34.85$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.19	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14b0…a142backed Over	38c	34.39$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.32	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3209…066fbacked Over	36c	34.28$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.94	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over	36c	34.08$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.81	1,618	46.8%758 W · 860 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	54c	33.92$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.3	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over	63c	33.83$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.52	686	59.5%408 W · 278 L	+65.9wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	52c	33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.3	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Over	36c	32.67$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.91	145	45.5%66 W · 79 L	-10.4wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Under	64c	31.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Under	40c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	132	44.7%59 W · 73 L	-13.4wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x53c9…a970backed Over	36c	29.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.19	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under	51c	29.47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.14	597	3%18 W · 579 L	-221.0wins	-0.37per pick	40cpaid	-90.7%equal weight	11-0.36 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under	65c	28.57$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.57	1,496	51.5%771 W · 725 L	-7.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Under	63c	27.57$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.37	917	43.7%401 W · 516 L	-35.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	48c	27.09$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.93	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	70c	26.35$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.91	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x312c…ceecbacked Under	62c	26$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.12	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x736e…92babacked Over	40c	25.08$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.04	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba9f…87acbacked Over	40c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under	64c	25$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.95	122	59%72 W · 50 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf4…0e3dbacked Under	60c	23.14$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.9	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed Under	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.79	194	54.1%105 W · 89 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Over	58c	17.25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.25	771	46%355 W · 416 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe658…7ae9backed Under	77c	16.18$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.53	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	75cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierSpirit won
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)100 Thieves won
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-9.5) vs 100 Thieves (+9.5)100 Thieves won
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)Spirit won
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event