TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x736e…92ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5030%15 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO (BO5) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.03
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.1
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$16.54
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$41.23
Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.42
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+152.5%+$60.77
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked 2GAME Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
Valorant: TYLOO vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked QT DIG∞ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Valorant: Joblife vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+525%+$74.81
Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+342.6%+$58.79
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+658.7%+$81.41
Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+136.3%+$26.78
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+224.9%+$40.93
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$45.65
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+299.7%+$30.75
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$34.64
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.13
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+419%+$43.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+404.7%+$50.26
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+300%+$52.29
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+179.5%+$19.17
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.33
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.43
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.16
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+180.3%+$67.46
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$45.9
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.23
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+150.4%+$79.79
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.52
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$23.99
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+302.7%+$44.89
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.21
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.33
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$15.04
Counter-Strike: magic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.41
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$17
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.05
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+199.9%+$26.72
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+238.9%+$47.63
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.3
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Spread: Norway (-2.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.41
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.38
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.78
Spread: Japan (-2.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+320.3%+$42.7
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+557.2%+$67.75
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+240%+$24.7
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-45.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.92
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+264.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$38.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+152.1%+$28.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.