Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2025-12-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc80a1f0a8bc89333fa9bcf8772a6a572fae8d9f5bfbaa1f6bcaa995d6e5d7dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 10c | 23,793$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.73 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 11c | 12,824$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.64 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 11c | 10,276$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.33 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 10c | 6,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 4,446$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.55 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 10c | 4,399$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.08 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 11c | 4,391$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.99 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 11c | 3,692$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.09 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 10c | 3,484$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.22 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 9c | 2,590$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.02 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Yes | 3c | 2,395$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…d8a7backed Yes | 11c | 1,800$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 11c | 1,773$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.38 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 12c | 1,141$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.94 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Yes | 11c | 1,118$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…19a0backed Yes | 11c | 1,100$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 10c | 1,009$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,007$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5828…2683backed Yes | 12c | 959.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 2c | 928.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 10c | 888.31$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a4…f479backed Yes | 5c | 725.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 9c | 700.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f1…ce5fbacked Yes | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…54cbbacked Yes | 12c | 691.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…3298backed Yes | 12c | 643$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8685…be37backed Yes | 11c | 618$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…28a5backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373f…635fbacked Yes | 12c | 541.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddda…d326backed Yes | 12c | 516.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 10c | 501$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 11c | 497.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a3…c581backed Yes | 12c | 458.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 10c | 449.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 5c | 417$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 11c | 414.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0788…a866backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes | 4c | 399.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35b…983bbacked Yes | 10c | 357.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x678a…e94cbacked Yes | 12c | 342.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 7c | 311$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…faebbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 8c | 295.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 10c | 289.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…49f6backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 8c | 234$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731a…b904backed Yes | 12c | 202.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…28b4backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 12c | 192$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…f28cbacked Yes | 11c | 172.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…a6a1backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…53afbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…c7a2backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…e249backed Yes | 10c | 155.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736e…92babacked Yes | 11c | 148.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yes | 11c | 144$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 11c | 140.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…fccdbacked Yes | 11c | 124.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…02fabacked Yes | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8928…3729backed Yes | 12c | 116.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 12c | 116.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Yes | 10c | 100.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…d632backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcb…bc37backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2025-12-03?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Brentford end in a draw?No won
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.