Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf233e69c9218fd084d27609fc212f7e677013583d8d94f1c4ad6fa33b89780d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,857,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,153,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,857,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 814 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 70c | 228,764$160,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,452.24 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 69c | 211,000$145,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,700 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 72c | 110,978$79,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,073.78 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 28c | 99,203$27,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,775.57 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 30c | 99,119$29,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,735.64 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 30c | 98,592$29,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,214.24 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 31c | 96,000$29,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,759.94 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 83,615$24,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,460.37 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 32c | 73,450$23,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,358.99 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 69c | 62,123$42,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,544.14 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 32c | 48,952$15,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,522.84 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 31c | 48,667$14,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,952.33 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 71c | 48,216$34,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,208.9 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…ae12backed No | 32c | 44,932$14,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,368 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed No | 31c | 36,425$11,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,291.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 69c | 35,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 69c | 35,000$24,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,850 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 32c | 34,040$10,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,892.8 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 28c | 32,783$9,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,027.32 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes | 70c | 31,395$21,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,418.48 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 68c | 30,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 30c | 29,298$8,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,918.84 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 31c | 24,065$7,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,460.09 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 26c | 22,691$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.63 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…7f26backed Yes | 69c | 21,520$14,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,671.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 68c | 19,809$13,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,318.58 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 31c | 19,333$5,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,993.12 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 31c | 18,310$5,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,676.14 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 31c | 18,050$5,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,595.5 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Yes | 69c | 17,349$11,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,378.2 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 22c | 16,030$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520.37 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 19c | 13,529$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.26 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 16c | 12,745$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.03 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 31c | 10,473$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256.2 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ec…79fbbacked Yes | 68c | 10,154$6,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7846…c08dbacked Yes | 68c | 10,140$6,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…83cfbacked Yes | 68c | 9,736$6,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,071.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Yes | 69c | 9,617$6,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 31c | 9,535$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.87 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Yes | 70c | 8,690$6,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 71c | 8,270$5,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.3 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Yes | 69c | 7,246$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 31c | 7,102$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.51 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 32c | 6,497$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 31c | 5,835$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.85 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 69c | 5,347$3,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.51 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Yes | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Yes | 70c | 4,212$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 31c | 4,202$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 69c | 4,002$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.69 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 72c | 3,800$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.18 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 27c | 3,795$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.67 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed No | 30c | 3,750$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 31c | 3,687$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.97 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Yes | 69c | 3,554$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.71 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e09…ab25backed Yes | 70c | 3,519$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 29c | 3,352$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Yes | 70c | 3,304$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.29 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Yes | 69c | 3,265$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 70c | 3,017$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.68 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked Yes | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 30c | 2,980$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.23 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.18 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Yes | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed No | 30c | 2,897$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.1 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…ebc9backed Yes | 69c | 2,896$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f8…f321backed Yes | 77c | 2,691$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 68c | 2,354$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.54 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 31c | 2,292$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.65 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…7594backed Yes | 70c | 2,286$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.71 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed No | 32c | 2,220$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 31c | 2,203$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.91 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 69c | 2,202$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.37 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x746a…d3d2backed Yes | 69c | 1,871$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…18b0backed Yes | 75c | 1,800$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 28c | 1,800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked No | 32c | 1,763$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1112…b9c0backed Yes | 70c | 1,714$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 15c | 1,683$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.42 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…6e1ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,675$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 24c | 1,671$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.34 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 29c | 1,670$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.27 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Yes | 69c | 1,541$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 29c | 1,495$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.55 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ce…d50abacked Yes | 69c | 1,493$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…557abacked Yes | 72c | 1,470$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.63 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 67c | 1,450$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.57 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…04bebacked Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 70c | 1,448$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.3 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 71c | 1,433$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.94 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.7 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40de…450abacked Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…534ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Brentford end in a draw?No won
- Will Brentford win on 2025-12-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.