Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfed58e3086ce3ffe6839e8e1a22eec5d76621f0ab3f9fe165e8bd281e9f90c5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxo W7Mof Cloud9, Fluxo W7M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8660…93edbacked Cloud9 | 44c | 25,170$11,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,173.6 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Fluxo W7M | 57c | 20,330$11,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,740.18 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Cloud9 | 41c | 14,944$6,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,089.92 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Fluxo W7M | 56c | 8,870$4,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,941.39 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed Fluxo W7M | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Cloud9 | 45c | 3,415$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.66 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Fluxo W7M | 55c | 2,589$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.05 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fluxo W7M | 61c | 2,083$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.54 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Fluxo W7M | 59c | 1,996$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.12 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb1…aebabacked Cloud9 | 45c | 1,547$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 1,343$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.96 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Fluxo W7M | 58c | 1,176$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.36 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Fluxo W7M | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Fluxo W7M | 54c | 990$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Fluxo W7M | 61c | 888.1$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.65 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Fluxo W7M | 55c | 836.66$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.61 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Cloud9 | 43c | 659$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Cloud9 | 45c | 611$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.19 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Cloud9 | 40c | 598.71$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.48 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Fluxo W7M | 57c | 592.82$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.91 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…107bbacked Fluxo W7M | 53c | 550$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Fluxo W7M | 56c | 509.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Fluxo W7M | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Fluxo W7M | 60c | 490$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Cloud9 | 40c | 470$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Cloud9 | 42c | 380.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…9064backed Cloud9 | 44c | 305.17$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.43 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…2359backed Cloud9 | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…56a1backed Cloud9 | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Fluxo W7M | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…aab1backed Fluxo W7M | 55c | 148.34$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…70babacked Fluxo W7M | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Cloud9 | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Cloud9 | 45c | 130$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Cloud9 | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Cloud9 | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…ed7abacked Cloud9 | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -5.9wins | -0.42per pick | 50cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Cloud9 | 44c | 94.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Cloud9 | 43c | 83.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736e…92babacked Cloud9 | 41c | 81.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Fluxo W7M | 61c | 79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…0f71backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 77.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 76.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Fluxo W7M | 55c | 54.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 155 | 60.6%94 W · 61 L | +14.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Cloud9 | 25c | 53.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Cloud9 | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Fluxo W7M | 60c | 37.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Cloud9 | 41c | 34.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Fluxo W7M | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Fluxo W7M | 59c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked Cloud9 | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Fluxo W7M | 57c | 26.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Fluxo W7M | 59c | 25.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Cloud9 | 43c | 23.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e9…fb58backed Fluxo W7M | 59c | 18.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)this page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)Fluxo W7M won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)Cloud9 won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InCloud9 won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 WinnerCloud9 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.