TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cloud9of Cloud9, Fluxo W7M
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,192
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,192 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8660…93edbacked Fluxo W7M37c14,416$5,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,357.7517948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Cloud968c10,000$6,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,215.8252155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Cloud973c8,428$6,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,274.944740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe454…8b7dbacked Cloud970c7,352$5,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.368058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cloud945c5,621$2,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,067.919046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Fluxo W7M31c5,000$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.986038.3%23 W · 37 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Fluxo W7M38c4,005$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.165559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Fluxo W7M33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32026738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Cloud971c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16032047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Fluxo W7M32c3,898$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.572634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Fluxo W7M38c3,255$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.4353159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Fluxo W7M27c2,970$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.775238.5%20 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Fluxo W7M34c2,754$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.2615431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664e…e82abacked Cloud974c2,685$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.484100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+60.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb1…aebabacked Cloud947c2,031$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.234445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked Fluxo W7M51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.582944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Fluxo W7M39c1,844$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.0553355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa64f…bcf8backed Cloud968c1,799$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.661464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Cloud968c1,780$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.814158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Cloud951c1,780$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.8435142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cloud967c1,696$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.4846326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Cloud977c1,693$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.267640.8%31 W · 45 L-14.7wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-38.6%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked Cloud969c1,676$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.824163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Fluxo W7M38c1,639$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.6693148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cloud949c1,547$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.781,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Fluxo W7M39c1,508$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.0132462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Fluxo W7M37c1,500$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.7824250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed Fluxo W7M20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Fluxo W7M26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9928541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked Fluxo W7M44c1,427$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.1319751.8%102 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Fluxo W7M29c1,414$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41056551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1047…9036backed Cloud970c1,404$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Cloud958c1,401$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.651,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fluxo W7M55c1,400$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77094361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d72…02d0backed Fluxo W7M25c1,400$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501520%3 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Fluxo W7M31c1,270$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9956357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Fluxo W7M29c1,120$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.4688844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc978…2d5ebacked Cloud969c1,079$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked Fluxo W7M35c1,052$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3661758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedde…0e96backed Cloud966c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3402857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Cloud967c1,000$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.332245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Cloud953c984.44$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.423732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Cloud969c966.46$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.619546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fluxo W7M32c936.57$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.1144342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Cloud955c915.33$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.7674642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Cloud967c907.32$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.4963955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Cloud957c878.44$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.6970043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked Fluxo W7M36c841.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Fluxo W7M6c836$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1626650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x115a…a690backed Cloud971c767.72$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.381050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Fluxo W7M34c720.84$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.0849255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Fluxo W7M25c685.26$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.3218457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed Cloud952c661.36$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.362944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd3…a918backed Fluxo W7M31c649.68$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed Cloud947c634.65$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.657456.8%42 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Fluxo W7M32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Fluxo W7M2c600$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46317.5%11 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Fluxo W7M34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005050%25 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b1…df57backed Fluxo W7M14c552.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806124.6%15 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c2f…d8c2backed Fluxo W7M44c549.19$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.32544%11 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a41…20bdbacked Fluxo W7M19c527.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012250%61 W · 61 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Fluxo W7M23c491.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8381134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Fluxo W7M38c491.21$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.0516420.1%33 W · 131 L-20.1wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-49.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Cloud973c466.38$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8939646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed Fluxo W7M31c439$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.095356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c9c…91e9backed Fluxo W7M32c420.34$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Cloud974c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10433153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5be…2bfbbacked Fluxo W7M28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Fluxo W7M55c367.21$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.678562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Fluxo W7M29c360.04$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7560154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e6d…6f31backed Fluxo W7M28c359$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.716443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Cloud965c345.69$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5125843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Fluxo W7M25c345.03$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6655637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Fluxo W7M29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbea9…677ebacked Cloud967c341.07$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.871275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Fluxo W7M30c334$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.216950.9%86 W · 83 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Cloud962c322.76$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.84647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked Fluxo W7M20c309.72$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629737.1%36 W · 61 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Cloud946c304.89$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3419439.2%76 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcda7…af42backed Cloud968c294.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.884860.4%29 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Cloud951c266.51$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5917853.9%96 W · 82 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Cloud962c253.78$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5996245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae4…9b8fbacked Cloud970c223.09$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9310348.5%50 W · 53 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Cloud968c220.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.586055%33 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8310…82c7backed Fluxo W7M57c218.36$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9f…a6c0backed Cloud970c204.09$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.231369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+65%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Fluxo W7M31c202$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6923733.8%80 W · 157 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6b…dc55backed Fluxo W7M27c201.03$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Fluxo W7M49c199.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7717654.5%96 W · 80 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Fluxo W7M28c199.39$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8313661%83 W · 53 L+14.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Cloud952c187.9$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.511246.4%52 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf19…8869backed Fluxo W7M27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504634.8%16 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b7…5f6bbacked Fluxo W7M27c182.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2710061%61 W · 39 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Fluxo W7M41c181.55$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5269722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Fluxo W7M15c177.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.922025%5 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe702…d88cbacked Fluxo W7M37c173.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.124843.8%21 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x81d1…4806backed Fluxo W7M47c173.76$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.128357.8%48 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Fluxo W7M29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508259.8%49 W · 33 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed Cloud973c170$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.98481%68 W · 16 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+17.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Cloud966c168$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.644447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.