Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf89cd0205e35e21032be0e358c50d1d92b1cf79c960c84a96bedf5f3b42361bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, XLG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2775…3652backed XLG Gaming | 51c | 678.02$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.22 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 41c | 358.09$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.48 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 42c | 311.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.6 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Bilibili Gaming | 41c | 281.16$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.29 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked XLG Gaming | 56c | 191.42$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.54 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…295bbacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 147.45$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Bilibili Gaming | 35c | 135.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…5e95backed XLG Gaming | 66c | 103.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked XLG Gaming | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked XLG Gaming | 69c | 92.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed XLG Gaming | 73c | 91$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Bilibili Gaming | 41c | 90.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed XLG Gaming | 60c | 81.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed XLG Gaming | 56c | 69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…2aeebacked XLG Gaming | 50c | 66.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 65.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked XLG Gaming | 58c | 65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 62.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked XLG Gaming | 36c | 59.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 56.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed XLG Gaming | 71c | 46.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked XLG Gaming | 56c | 45.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…cec2backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 38.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Bilibili Gaming | 27c | 38.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked XLG Gaming | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed XLG Gaming | 69c | 36.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736e…92babacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 33.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 31.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd1…ae7bbacked XLG Gaming | 66c | 30.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked XLG Gaming | 55c | 26.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 26.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 WinnerXLG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.