Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe734155f0757991cb22600f4fa4faccd5b9957a819c0b43539dea2d489c57518
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- XLG Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, XLG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x633e…d305backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 2,576$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.78 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked XLG Gaming | 66c | 2,159$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.21 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed XLG Gaming | 61c | 628$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.03 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 613.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.57 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19fb…bd68backed Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 607.99$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bilibili Gaming | 29c | 551.39$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.13 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed XLG Gaming | 54c | 500$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 433.17$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.16 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed XLG Gaming | 52c | 417.97$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.63 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked XLG Gaming | 51c | 373.5$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.35 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed XLG Gaming | 50c | 340$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 336.62$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.54 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked XLG Gaming | 52c | 333$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 320.98$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 43c | 310.97$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.72 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 290$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed XLG Gaming | 52c | 282.76$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…a7d5backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 279.41$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 273.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…1517backed XLG Gaming | 77c | 232.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked XLG Gaming | 50c | 211.23$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.62 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…2d85backed XLG Gaming | 55c | 205.48$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed XLG Gaming | 52c | 192.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed XLG Gaming | 40c | 182.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.48 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 173.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 172.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bilibili Gaming | 28c | 168$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 29c | 157.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 30c | 147.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 135.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…6a9fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 132.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…4465backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 101.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked XLG Gaming | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked XLG Gaming | 56c | 98.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed XLG Gaming | 55c | 94.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked XLG Gaming | 52c | 91.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…5e95backed XLG Gaming | 54c | 90.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd531…8b0cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Bilibili Gaming | 24c | 86.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…be99backed XLG Gaming | 61c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed XLG Gaming | 59c | 83.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Bilibili Gaming | 30c | 82.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 69.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked XLG Gaming | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bilibili Gaming | 21c | 61.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 51.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…ea61backed XLG Gaming | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed XLG Gaming | 67c | 48.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Bilibili Gaming | 22c | 45.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Bilibili Gaming | 22c | 45.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…cec2backed XLG Gaming | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Bilibili Gaming | 29c | 44.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed XLG Gaming | 56c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…0566backed XLG Gaming | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked XLG Gaming | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 32.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed XLG Gaming | 71c | 32.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 31.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 26.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 26.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2292…8adfbacked XLG Gaming | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 25.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6e95backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 24.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…de4abacked XLG Gaming | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d4…ff90backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…cb42backed XLG Gaming | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.