TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x917b…cb42

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$13.65
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$15.25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$11.94
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$7.6
Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 Winnerbacked BORRACHEIROS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$9.3
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Phantom (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$4.9
Will FaZe Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+315.5%+$56.95
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$12.25
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+130.1%+$28.27
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.5
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+168.3%+$53.95
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$22.55
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$14.05
Will Aurora Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)backed Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$16.55
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.82
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$16.8
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$4.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.