Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x989e903a89b5ffaeb77306fd39c1d678cf4b1fc7061543f212f49f1064dc6b4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 20c | 16,969$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,565.18 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 6,962$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.31 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 39c | 6,098$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,727.91 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 47c | 3,542$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.26 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e1…c25cbacked Under | 60c | 2,645$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.82 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Over | 41c | 2,062$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.56 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…6141backed Over | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Over | 78c | 1,976$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.5 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Over | 41c | 1,932$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.39 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 80c | 1,403$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.98 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 64c | 1,365$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.8 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Over | 46c | 1,114$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.69 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 46c | 1,053$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 70c | 1,024$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.18 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Over | 32c | 1,020$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.75 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…3680backed Under | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dda…c9e0backed Over | 25c | 964$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 750.47$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.78 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 59c | 711.86$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.86 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…7708backed Under | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under | 51c | 681.63$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.63 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 663.14$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.23 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…8e52backed Under | 74c | 538.63$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 536.81$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.31 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…eed9backed Under | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 59c | 505.25$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 40c | 495.08$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.71 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 28c | 440.58$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.36 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4529…d10abacked Under | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 34c | 352.06$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.96 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 28c | 339.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 25c | 329.36$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed Over | 31c | 309.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under | 72c | 262.5$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…0370backed Over | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Under | 65c | 242.92$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 26c | 234.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.17 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over | 73c | 203.35$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d8…5be4backed Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 80c | 197$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.6 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 30c | 189.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked Under | 72c | 187.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed Under | 61c | 164.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 55c | 164.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Under | 72c | 137.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…5ef4backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfafd…8837backed Under | 72c | 131.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Over | 34c | 129.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 56c | 120.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d0…ba9bbacked Over | 79c | 113.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 74c | 107.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 67c | 104.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 29c | 102.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…d143backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…e5bebacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -7.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c1…5981backed Under | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…bb75backed Under | 72c | 92.14$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 49c | 91.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Under | 55c | 91.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 61c | 91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 30c | 90.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 28c | 90.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f37…f96fbacked Over | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Over | 35c | 85.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 49c | 84.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 70c | 83.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Over | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e55…d369backed Under | 62c | 80.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Under | 71c | 72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4589…5ea9backed Under | 72c | 68.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 56c | 66.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf282…1637backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 33c | 61.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 43c | 53.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 59c | 52.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0356…5273backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 77c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Under | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x923a…e723backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 64c | 42.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…9817backed Under | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.