TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,881
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,881 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc482…b505backed Under20c16,969$3,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,565.187342.5%31 W · 42 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c6,962$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,380.314,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under39c6,098$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,727.912236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under47c3,542$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.266139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e1…c25cbacked Under60c2,645$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.821747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Over41c2,062$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.569660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7629…6141backed Over77c2,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Over78c1,976$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.515543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Over41c1,932$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.392948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over80c1,403$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.989246.7%43 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under64c1,365$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.876842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Over46c1,114$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.692222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over55c1,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60526548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over46c1,053$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under70c1,024$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.181,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Over32c1,020$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.7510253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e8…3680backed Under68c999.99$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dda…c9e0backed Over25c964$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.078953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c750.47$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.7874644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under59c711.86$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.863871.1%27 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfef0…7708backed Under71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.231650%8 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under51c681.63$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.6311636.2%42 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under60c663.14$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.231,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under72c600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1684151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Under74c538.63$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over74c536.81$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.316,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6779…eed9backed Under75c533.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.331464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over59c505.25$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2973650%18 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over40c495.08$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.715543.6%24 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over28c440.58$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3675850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4529…d10abacked Under72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.67560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under34c352.06$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.9696645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over28c339.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.241850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over25c329.36$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3411828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007038.6%27 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed Over31c309.68$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6411125.2%28 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507245.8%33 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under72c262.5$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.53167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1da…0370backed Over70c250$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Under65c242.92$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.961136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under26c234.46$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1713250.8%67 W · 65 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Over73c203.35$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1498756.3%49 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11d8…5be4backed Over33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over80c197$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.622057.7%127 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over30c189.43$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8354340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeff…42fbbacked Under72c187.5$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f7…d028backed Under61c164.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.731275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Over55c164.09$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Under72c137.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.55459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…5ef4backed Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.334100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+55.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfafd…8837backed Under72c131.5$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.82887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+63.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Over34c129.85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.152653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over56c120.56$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6761143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d0…ba9bbacked Over79c113.92$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under51c110$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7927948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over74c107.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9724052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Under67c104.32$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.325366%35 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over29c102.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6669851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfa…d143backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.192433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5649…e5bebacked Under20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274425%11 W · 33 L-7.2wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367954.4%43 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93c1…5981backed Under72c97.22$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.22887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.593145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e07…bb75backed Under72c92.14$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over49c91.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6415858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Under55c91.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.572334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under61c91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7111753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over30c90.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.291,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over28c90.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2833551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f37…f96fbacked Over28c90$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Over35c85.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over49c84.51$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4336545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under70c83.58$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4980953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Over40c82.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e55…d369backed Under62c80.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe2…6829backed Under75c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.751485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Under71c72$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.889652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3d…3681backed Over70c71.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1bbe…1559backed Over29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4589…5ea9backed Under72c68.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Over56c66.82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.744429.5%13 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf282…1637backed Over30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over33c61.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020336.9%75 W · 128 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.823865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+38.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over43c53.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310136.6%37 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under59c52.53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.533342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0356…5273backed Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152825%7 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Over77c45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7224557.6%141 W · 104 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Under27c44.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.442759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x923a…e723backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under64c42.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.961,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd00d…9817backed Under72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.