TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arsenal FCof Arsenal FC, Fulham FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,829 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Fulham FC60c23,294$14,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,062.4916040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Fulham FC60c14,546$8,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,727.533557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c58…a5a1backed Arsenal FC40c10,500$4,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,294.952240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Arsenal FC39c7,000$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,269.9820140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Fulham FC61c7,000$4,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,269.9738649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Arsenal FC40c5,750$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,450966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Arsenal FC40c3,750$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25011445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Arsenal FC40c3,750$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2503847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Arsenal FC39c3,260$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.62445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Fulham FC60c3,162$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.093243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed Arsenal FC39c2,700$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6472441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Arsenal FC55c2,627$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.682055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Arsenal FC40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5007145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Arsenal FC58c2,500$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.3710636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Arsenal FC40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Fulham FC61c1,837$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1202751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Arsenal FC40c1,725$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0353100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+103.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Arsenal FC40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75019244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1f…ab66backed Arsenal FC40c1,225$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e1…c25cbacked Fulham FC61c1,148$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Arsenal FC62c1,048$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.392528%7 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-49.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4fa5…a15abacked Arsenal FC41c977.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.063363.6%21 W · 12 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+33.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Fulham FC60c939.99$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.641850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fulham FC43c875.04$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.054,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc8…6ca6backed Arsenal FC39c797.68$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.58450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Arsenal FC40c774.98$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.9954340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Fulham FC59c756.68$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.279246.7%43 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7521…9997backed Arsenal FC59c728.81$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.811844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b71…c4d0backed Arsenal FC40c707.74$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.742245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Fulham FC61c503.28$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3075648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Arsenal FC40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004334.9%15 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Arsenal FC60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Arsenal FC60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Arsenal FC40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3009131.9%29 W · 62 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Arsenal FC61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.830050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Arsenal FC40c480$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28819235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Arsenal FC39c460.59$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.9659247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafb2…0942backed Arsenal FC60c418.38$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Arsenal FC63c394.37$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7661143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Arsenal FC40c375$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2256142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Arsenal FC41c365.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.854557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x415c…d51ebacked Fulham FC43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-52.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked Arsenal FC40c345$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2072650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Arsenal FC54c342.94$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.411,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Fulham FC46c327.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde1d…c645backed Arsenal FC41c326.83$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Arsenal FC40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18011125.2%28 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Arsenal FC39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1834425%11 W · 33 L-7.2wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Arsenal FC39c274.53$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.432,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Fulham FC54c271.12$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.076,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Arsenal FC41c268.29$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.2911343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Arsenal FC60c263.91$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.873148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Fulham FC61c250.74$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.956758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Fulham FC60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe58b…d323backed Arsenal FC42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Fulham FC47c209.57$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985139.2%20 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Fulham FC61c204.92$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Fulham FC60c200.01$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12055751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed5a…9102backed Fulham FC60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Arsenal FC39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1226947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Fulham FC61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12223353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Arsenal FC40c182.5$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.53135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Fulham FC41c181.46$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.410547.6%50 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca07…6269backed Fulham FC24c181.08$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.633522.9%8 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-44.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf18c…0350backed Arsenal FC40c180$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1083735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec2…26d7backed Fulham FC61c179.43$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.453231.3%10 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+72.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c6b…42a7backed Arsenal FC40c175$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Arsenal FC40c167.83$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.739555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Arsenal FC61c164.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.073250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Arsenal FC40c160$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9619426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked Arsenal FC40c158.08$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.853638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Arsenal FC40c128.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.961,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Arsenal FC40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7511736.8%43 W · 74 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Arsenal FC40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7511839%46 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d36…9155backed Arsenal FC41c123.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.171546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53a6…1e08backed Arsenal FC57c117.54$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.54540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab8…6eaabacked Arsenal FC43c113.52$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.71944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+42.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Arsenal FC39c111$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7117337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Fulham FC60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607759.7%46 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Fulham FC43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.517244.2%76 W · 96 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x844d…780bbacked Fulham FC46c97.56$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.81553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…b24abacked Fulham FC55c90.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Arsenal FC39c88.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.244932.7%16 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa6…e929backed Arsenal FC40c87.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.54337.2%16 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Fulham FC60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1398…f6b3backed Fulham FC61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab8…d621backed Arsenal FC61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3b…380cbacked Arsenal FC39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.92757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked Arsenal FC40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453727%10 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-39.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Fulham FC60c73.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3974644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbe…1559backed Arsenal FC41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.179345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05c7…4421backed Arsenal FC61c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc3…a134backed Fulham FC43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Arsenal FC39c68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.489940.4%40 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Arsenal FC39c67.31$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0635941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe253…b9c7backed Arsenal FC40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.53138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3323…f667backed Arsenal FC40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52030%6 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5345…666abacked Arsenal FC40c62.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.311323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8f5…1a48backed Arsenal FC41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.981369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+65%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Fulham FC61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.627846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.