TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed5a…9102

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT6858.8%40 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.45
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$18.99
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.04
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.33
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$19.27
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.31
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+46%+$9.92
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.62
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.1
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$29.8
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.75
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$18.74
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.36
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.84
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.15
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$91.98
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$21.74
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.74
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$109.91
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.85
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.64
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82.92
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$63.31
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.69
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.69
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$65.52
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.18
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.1
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.39
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.55
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Fulham FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs AaB Esport (BO3) - United21 Group Bbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$19.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.