Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc733b27510a37833afa638c3aeabec2811dffbb996c6bd1c735337f13f85bed

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,866,308
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,976,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,866,308 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 861 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x72d8…5213backed Under	67c	148,588$99,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,034.03	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9732…1539backed Over	35c	117,479$40,747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,746.58	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under	65c	106,997$69,878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,118.95	320	31.6%101 W · 219 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Over	52c	103,163$53,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,644.57	175	50.3%88 W · 87 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	54c	70,481$37,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,518.89	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	62c	66,107$40,698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,409.95	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	68c	56,205$38,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,900.58	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Over	61c	50,004$30,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,554.8	200	44.5%89 W · 111 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	37c	45,973$17,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,172.71	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over	75c	42,281$31,711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,710.93	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked Under	67c	36,742$24,512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,229.87	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over	38c	30,000$11,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,400	216	31%67 W · 149 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	52c	28,489$14,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,736.03	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over	11c	23,036$2,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,475.26	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Over	35c	23,000$8,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,050	72	37.5%27 W · 45 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	32c	15,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	34c	13,694$4,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,637.37	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over	28c	11,677$3,279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,278.78	245	33.5%82 W · 163 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under	65c	11,446$7,419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,026.47	362	35.9%130 W · 232 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over	48c	10,499$5,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,037.57	137	38.7%53 W · 84 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under	64c	10,000$6,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,599.9	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over	36c	9,999$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,599.64	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under	53c	9,395$5,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,374.73	437	37.8%165 W · 272 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over	56c	9,320$5,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,174.14	396	44.7%177 W · 219 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	56c	8,545$4,801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800.84	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Under	46c	8,000$3,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,320	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under	54c	8,000$4,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,690	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Under	58c	7,492$4,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,166.29	193	32.1%62 W · 131 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Over	34c	7,000$2,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,380	87	35.6%31 W · 56 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under	48c	6,702$3,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,460.28	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over	29c	6,596$1,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,939.54	425	41.6%177 W · 248 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	39c	6,595$2,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,587.27	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59fc…5054backed Over	36c	5,492$1,977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,977.25	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+41.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…07b4backed Under	67c	5,099$3,427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,671.82	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5be2…1b70backed Over	78c	5,052$3,919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,918.6	30	60%18 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	36c	5,033$1,812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,811.7	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Under	65c	5,000$3,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,750	100	59%59 W · 41 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	42c	4,909$2,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,045.65	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under	44c	4,634$2,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,611.74	95	25.3%24 W · 71 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over	33c	4,583$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.99	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91af…9a27backed Over	74c	4,569$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,400.24	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over	51c	4,500$2,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,294.99	229	43.7%100 W · 129 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	50c	4,186$2,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,088.5	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over	48c	4,167$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.16	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Over	14c	4,122$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.6	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over	75c	4,025$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	86	72.1%62 W · 24 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	70cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under	56c	3,850$2,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,685.99	137	62.8%86 W · 51 L	+8.7wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Under	79c	3,791$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$791.13	191	58.1%111 W · 80 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over	36c	3,777$1,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,353.88	253	39.5%100 W · 153 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	53c	3,728$1,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,750.27	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under	37c	3,718$1,388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,329.51	399	33.1%132 W · 267 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67c5…cab7backed Over	55c	3,636$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under	72c	3,629$2,609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,019.42	201	50.7%102 W · 99 L	+11.3wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed Over	47c	3,576$1,668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,667.55	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01d4…2baabacked Under	79c	3,445$2,721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$723.42	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over	54c	3,422$1,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,848.97	635	44.4%282 W · 353 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	33c	3,403$1,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,138.45	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under	55c	3,331$1,836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,495.26	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	44c	3,320$1,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,454.01	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under	63c	3,183$2,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,166.62	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	36c	3,150$1,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,118.91	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under	74c	3,120$2,302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$817.95	376	50.8%191 W · 185 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under	57c	3,109$1,758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,351.08	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Under	33c	3,046$1,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,040.81	89	38.2%34 W · 55 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Over	34c	3,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	126	55.6%70 W · 56 L	+9.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	36c	3,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	64c	2,898$1,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,043.37	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under	51c	2,881$1,468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,412.73	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Over	35c	2,857$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	167	46.7%78 W · 89 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over	36c	2,778$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	301	40.5%122 W · 179 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under	58c	2,748$1,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,159.22	337	40.4%136 W · 201 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over	10c	2,693$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.62	348	45.1%157 W · 191 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Over	40c	2,651$1,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,071.76	96	50%48 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd60…423abacked Under	58c	2,575$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,074.52	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+6.3wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over	43c	2,548$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	365	39.7%145 W · 220 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over	25c	2,500$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Under	64c	2,500$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$899.99	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f9…b9c5backed Over	26c	2,480$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	101	47.5%48 W · 53 L	+9.1wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over	67c	2,460$1,644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,644.16	282	58.2%164 W · 118 L	+10.0wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over	35c	2,314$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	150	34.7%52 W · 98 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	65c	2,290$1,488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801.5	258	57.4%148 W · 110 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Over	33c	2,273$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under	66c	2,268$1,495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$772.2	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	36c	2,239$804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803.53	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under	66c	2,237$1,477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760.67	46	65.2%30 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over	45c	2,222$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed Under	62c	2,214$1,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$845.27	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	63cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Under	68c	2,207$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$707.39	147	34%50 W · 97 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe995…5255backed Under	68c	2,113$1,445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$668.23	160	30.6%49 W · 111 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over	35c	2,101$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.5	377	54.4%205 W · 172 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under	26c	2,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,480	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over	69c	2,000$1,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,377.2	110	42.7%47 W · 63 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc522…7f28backed Under	36c	2,000$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,280	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+4.8wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+24%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under	65c	2,000$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	32c	2,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over	43c	2,000$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	116	38.8%45 W · 71 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099.99	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	50c	1,951$983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$982.79	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4579…9352backed Over	34c	1,950$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663	28	50%14 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	31c	1,867$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.25	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5this page
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 5.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Ecuador won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event