Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69adc46a5cb15e91b7e3910458574930d398753fbf77a8d75620d379b1603863

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $633,044
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $639,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $633,044 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under	77c	105,157$81,319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,837.83	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	19c	67,143$12,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,453.19	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	34c	47,186$16,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,043.29	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over	31c	31,679$9,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,667.13	216	31%67 W · 149 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	34c	17,908$6,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,126.46	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked Over	45c	14,000$6,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,299.99	84	50%42 W · 42 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over	9c	13,935$1,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,185.77	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under	55c	11,131$6,122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,008.83	175	50.3%88 W · 87 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…07b4backed Under	74c	10,000$7,423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,577.07	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over	50c	10,000$5,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,024.85	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over	6c	9,542$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.37	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	77c	8,731$6,718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,013.51	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over	32c	7,977$2,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,514.84	396	44.7%177 W · 219 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over	14c	7,580$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.58	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	75c	6,937$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,736.56	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under	71c	6,911$4,941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,970.02	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	8c	5,743$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.44	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	26c	5,304$1,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,384.71	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	10c	5,101$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.02	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	74c	4,171$3,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,096.1	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	23c	4,154$958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$958.03	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under	51c	3,808$1,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,869.61	425	41.6%177 W · 248 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over	18c	3,545$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.57	847	38.8%329 W · 518 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	51c	3,378$1,731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,647.58	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	17c	3,309$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.24	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aae…5efabacked Under	67c	3,050$2,043 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,006.49	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Over	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	1cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over	18c	2,777$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.86	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	74c	2,513$1,866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$647.86	589	42.6%251 W · 338 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	19c	2,510$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.82	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under	64c	2,500$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over	40c	2,500$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	28c	2,266$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$641.78	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	16c	2,205$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.79	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over	47c	2,128$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	238	57.6%137 W · 101 L	+22.5wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over	20c	2,112$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.4	228	13.2%30 W · 198 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under	49c	2,076$1,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,058.71	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x278f…ef30backed Under	55c	2,027$1,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$912.31	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Over	18c	2,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	105	18.1%19 W · 86 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over	52c	1,923$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.31	100	51%51 W · 49 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under	62c	1,816$1,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$697.33	337	40.4%136 W · 201 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Under	50c	1,800$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	214	29.4%63 W · 151 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Over	20c	1,750$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Under	66c	1,668$1,101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$567.12	190	37.4%71 W · 119 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over	19c	1,600$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296	159	20.1%32 W · 127 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	19c	1,579$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over	40c	1,560$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.43	437	37.8%165 W · 272 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	25c	1,554$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.01	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over	19c	1,546$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.96	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda0d…72a0backed Over	13c	1,408$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.28	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x403a…376cbacked Over	36c	1,389$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Under	55c	1,273$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.73	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	18c	1,260$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.87	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Under	57c	1,214$697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.29	275	43.6%120 W · 155 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e6f…31aebacked Over	10c	1,200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	78	26.9%21 W · 57 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Under	79c	1,200$952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.58	635	44.4%282 W · 353 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over	19c	1,175$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.3	146	12.3%18 W · 128 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29bf…e7e0backed Over	43c	1,163$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Over	18c	1,111$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	99	36.4%36 W · 63 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	15c	1,111$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.96	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over	32c	1,072$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.33	107	29%31 W · 76 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over	24c	1,053$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.57	348	45.1%157 W · 191 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa6e…6d8ebacked Under	52c	1,012$526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.7	66	57.6%38 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over	33c	1,000$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.65	98	21.4%21 W · 77 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-26%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	128	62.5%80 W · 48 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Over	35c	1,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	142	34.5%49 W · 93 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	20c	999.74$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.95	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over	14c	976$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.56	372	37.4%139 W · 233 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	17c	929.25$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.87	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Under	52c	900$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over	18c	893.09$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.53	527	44.4%234 W · 293 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46d4…30fcbacked Under	58c	862.07$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.07	220	32.3%71 W · 149 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	57c	832.19$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.9	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over	33c	832.11$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.4	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Under	49c	816.33$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.33	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3f…d4bfbacked Under	72c	800$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224	158	37.3%59 W · 99 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under	48c	799.98$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.99	136	41.9%57 W · 79 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Over	52c	700$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364	290	42.1%122 W · 168 L	-15.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b6d…27bbbacked Under	74c	675.68$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.68	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9327…a8f2backed Under	77c	640$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.56	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-2.2wins	-0.32per pick	75cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a93…f34cbacked Under	80c	638.64$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.64	62	59.7%37 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d71…ca3ebacked Under	73c	630$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.1	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	15c	624.99$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.74	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over	13c	613$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.09	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under	49c	610.2$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.2	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	-7.8wins	-0.12per pick	59cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Under	74c	608$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.71	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98f3…bf14backed Under	68c	600$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	34	70.6%24 W · 10 L	+4.6wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under	53c	549.27$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.1	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0e8…904cbacked Under	66c	545.45$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.45	50	38%19 W · 31 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Over	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	109	11%12 W · 97 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-66%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over	18c	500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	41c	499$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.85	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over	8c	482.76$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.16	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	18c	441.78$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.1	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce1c…a90abacked Under	69c	413.31$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.15	54	66.7%36 W · 18 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe893…afaebacked Over	27c	406.9$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.86	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c69…b1debacked Over	30c	400$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over	20c	400$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	257	37%95 W · 162 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51bf…d7a5backed Under	60c	389.29$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.5	19	84.2%16 W · 3 L	+5.6wins	+0.30per pick	55cpaid	+51.2%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x191e…dd9ebacked Over	19c	384.16$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.99	88	31.8%28 W · 60 L	-5.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5this page
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 5.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Ecuador won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event