Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa56777ed448742b9e0587c225b50a187982cca2b241d713d8cb67ffa97249a4d

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,671,270
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,547,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,671,270 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 980 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	30c	300,052$89,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89,344.05	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over	55c	170,063$93,534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76,528.21	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under	43c	104,603$44,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,934.31	320	31.6%101 W · 219 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under	45c	100,000$45,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,999.95	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under	45c	85,030$38,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38,263.5	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over	57c	85,000$48,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,550	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	323	56%181 W · 142 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	55c	45,953$25,427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,526.66	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over	60c	34,746$20,848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,898.39	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Over	66c	30,303$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,303.03	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Under	23c	29,549$6,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,826	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under	12c	23,426$2,766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,765.67	95	25.3%24 W · 71 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	7c	21,339$1,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,408.43	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under	40c	20,000$8,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,100	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under	41c	18,139$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,499.77	227	52.4%119 W · 108 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	27c	17,849$4,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,836.43	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over	57c	16,154$9,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,934.68	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under	16c	15,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,399.99	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	69c	14,781$10,159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,622.73	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Under	21c	12,500$2,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,625	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Under	41c	12,325$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,099.7	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under	43c	12,000$5,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,159.89	296	46.3%137 W · 159 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d9…9b1ebacked Under	42c	11,653$4,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,894.07	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Under	40c	10,739$4,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,315.75	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	59c	10,169$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,169.49	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Over	59c	10,000$5,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,100	87	35.6%31 W · 56 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67c5…cab7backed Over	58c	7,414$4,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,113.79	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Under	41c	7,317$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Under	41c	7,100$2,911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,911	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.17per pick	44cpaid	+81.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf78…ae9ebacked Under	40c	7,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under	41c	6,610$2,717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,716.65	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under	21c	6,608$1,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,409.91	437	37.8%165 W · 272 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	76c	6,471$4,943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,528.51	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under	42c	6,000$2,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,519.97	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	42c	5,939$2,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,509.76	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Under	40c	5,705$2,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,282	151	27.8%42 W · 109 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under	24c	5,686$1,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,392.48	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Under	42c	5,498$2,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,313.98	335	49%164 W · 171 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under	33c	5,420$1,802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,802.18	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under	41c	5,410$2,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,217.98	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under	44c	5,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	241	44.8%108 W · 133 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over	57c	5,000$2,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,150	169	57.4%97 W · 72 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Over	59c	5,000$2,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,050	250	38.8%97 W · 153 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0108…0d26backed Under	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Under	42c	5,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	98	23.5%23 W · 75 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	57c	5,000$2,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,149.99	223	42.6%95 W · 128 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Over	59c	5,000$2,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,049.97	126	55.6%70 W · 56 L	+9.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	56c	4,809$2,693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,115.88	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Over	49c	4,651$2,302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,349.74	143	42.7%61 W · 82 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under	37c	4,605$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700.43	362	35.9%130 W · 232 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under	26c	4,435$1,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.23	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under	16c	4,427$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.62	399	33.1%132 W · 267 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	65c	4,425$2,886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,538.9	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under	42c	4,127$1,746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,745.99	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x396c…4498backed Over	60c	4,033$2,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,613.33	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under	43c	4,000$1,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,720	292	50.7%148 W · 144 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	58c	3,981$2,303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,678.5	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d4f…e5f3backed Under	42c	3,857$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,619.75	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under	39c	3,852$1,502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,502.33	425	41.6%177 W · 248 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under	1c	3,611$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.11	99	12.1%12 W · 87 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under	42c	3,609$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,519.9	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7042…c72bbacked Under	28c	3,571$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under	43c	3,499$1,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,504.69	107	44.9%48 W · 59 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under	41c	3,362$1,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,378.38	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over	77c	3,314$2,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$765.14	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Under	41c	3,000$1,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,240	335	48.4%162 W · 173 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under	40c	3,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	232	55.2%128 W · 104 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over	56c	3,000$1,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,319.99	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over	77c	3,000$2,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$674.98	73	64.4%47 W · 26 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	42c	2,966$1,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,238.76	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	15c	2,890$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.8	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over	57c	2,830$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,229.64	335	44.5%149 W · 186 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under	38c	2,814$1,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,064.72	337	40.4%136 W · 201 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8716…57c8backed Under	41c	2,723$1,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120.98	326	47.9%156 W · 170 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over	67c	2,697$1,807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$890.01	186	33.3%62 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	42c	2,638$1,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,096.09	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc53b…f73fbacked Under	41c	2,610$1,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,070	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf1f…c920backed Under	41c	2,585$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea0…4776backed Under	41c	2,585$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over	66c	2,577$1,701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$876.16	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x441a…6d77backed Under	41c	2,561$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1c9…7be7backed Under	41c	2,537$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1501…afd9backed Under	41c	2,512$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over	60c	2,500$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	301	40.5%122 W · 179 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5241…927bbacked Under	41c	2,500$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,025	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x930f…b282backed Under	41c	2,488$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae9…0f9cbacked Under	41c	2,488$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96fa…86f4backed Under	41c	2,463$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fb7…e29fbacked Under	41c	2,463$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Under	7c	2,458$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.71	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf29d…7faabacked Under	41c	2,439$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c6…2e52backed Under	41c	2,439$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeac5…2003backed Under	42c	2,381$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-5.8wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under	41c	2,370$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978.91	474	42.8%203 W · 271 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under	1c	2,333$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.33	345	33.6%116 W · 229 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under	41c	2,305$945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945	97	41.2%40 W · 57 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e54…2ed4backed Under	44c	2,272$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.68	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Under	33c	2,200$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.88	455	36.9%168 W · 287 L	-26.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under	28c	2,050$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.97	234	40.2%94 W · 140 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Under	13c	2,032$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.78	254	45.3%115 W · 139 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5this page
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 5.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Ecuador won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event