Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xade1c1cb9732b46ca5aef4bd4daa37d1e274284ad684649ee8db74815da43574

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $241,831
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $241,262

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,831 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	35c	83,812$29,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,225.59	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	75c	28,440$21,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,419.41	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over	60c	15,000$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,000	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	-10.7wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	62c	13,362$8,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,217.89	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	67c	11,864$8,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,007.21	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over	62c	8,094$5,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,018.28	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	63c	5,942$3,724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,723.84	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	38c	5,931$2,263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,667.72	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	33c	5,773$1,911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,862.17	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under	37c	5,000$1,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,149.94	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	60c	3,736$2,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,257.03	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over	75c	2,743$2,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,057.58	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	39c	2,450$963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,487.08	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	38c	2,135$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,317.45	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	44c	2,001$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,120.31	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Over	59c	1,790$1,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,051.59	197	50.3%99 W · 98 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Over	56c	1,786$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	252	28.2%71 W · 181 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over	37c	1,740$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.16	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over	59c	1,589$943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942.75	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Over	77c	1,558$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	64cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Under	40c	1,531$619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$911.98	115	52.2%60 W · 55 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked Under	42c	1,500$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$870	81	51.9%42 W · 39 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Over	63c	1,500$945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$944.71	186	44.6%83 W · 103 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbfc…e387backed Over	32c	1,494$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.2	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.25per pick	48cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under	43c	1,341$577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$764.41	331	49.5%164 W · 167 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	40c	1,341$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$802.26	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	67c	1,200$804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$804.21	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	39c	1,131$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$686.94	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	18c	1,075$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$878.07	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under	40c	1,033$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$615.81	101	42.6%43 W · 58 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4b6…a582backed Over	58c	1,002$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.43	84	61.9%52 W · 32 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Under	41c	975.61$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.61	93	34.4%32 W · 61 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6840…12c1backed Over	63c	937.56$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.36	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-4.1wins	-0.18per pick	57cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	64c	883.44$565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.04	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over	57c	877.19$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	379	55.7%211 W · 168 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over	59c	847.46$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	304	65.1%198 W · 106 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	39c	814.45$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.13	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	39c	714.56$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.38	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under	38c	698.45$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.04	249	50.2%125 W · 124 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	59c	696.14$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.39	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	38c	657$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.34	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	49c	656.22$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.27	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Under	51c	645.4$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.48	103	59.2%61 W · 42 L	+9.4wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Under	39c	630.96$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.89	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Over	56c	600$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	39c	555.93$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.22	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under	38c	539.47$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.47	137	29.9%41 W · 96 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	64c	530$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.89	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3999…f793backed Over	61c	479.84$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.7	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Over	62c	475.73$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.95	139	48.2%67 W · 72 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2af…17d2backed Over	70c	475.69$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.98	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	50c	471.35$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.96	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under	43c	465.08$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.1	465	50.3%234 W · 231 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	32c	457$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.68	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over	59c	449.99$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.5	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48c1…42e1backed Over	62c	435.48$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-3.1wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a51…ce14backed Over	62c	387.1$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5949…534bbacked Over	57c	350.88$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Under	23c	349.94$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.89	76	52.6%40 W · 36 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Under	63c	346.44$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.91	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed Over	68c	338.29$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Over	21c	331.43$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	201	33.8%68 W · 133 L	+14.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e49…7186backed Under	39c	329.55$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.08	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over	62c	327.36$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.96	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da9…e7b3backed Over	63c	317.54$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over	60c	308.33$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	161	36%58 W · 103 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Over	68c	293.3$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	98	22.4%22 W · 76 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under	38c	292.48$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.34	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Under	35c	285.71$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.71	224	49.1%110 W · 114 L	+20.3wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over	62c	284.58$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.44	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3056…4fefbacked Under	48c	278.6$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.87	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c65…b9eebacked Over	79c	266.69$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.85	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Over	58c	258.62$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	167	50.9%85 W · 82 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef2…3c33backed Under	39c	256.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.41	182	47.8%87 W · 95 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under	75c	256.41$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.1	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under	41c	239.36$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.8	428	53.3%228 W · 200 L	-15.5wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	35c	222.53$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.85	483	28%135 W · 348 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb25…f7f3backed Over	39c	215.67$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.11	86	15.1%13 W · 73 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x946f…08ebbacked Under	39c	205.13$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.13	111	30.6%34 W · 77 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Over	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Over	61c	200$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over	61c	196.89$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	358	48.6%174 W · 184 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661c…695bbacked Under	64c	192.63$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.35	116	65.5%76 W · 40 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	133	57.1%76 W · 57 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	79c	183.72$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.82	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Under	41c	182.93$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.93	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6648…4798backed Over	58c	179.93$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.36	77	48.1%37 W · 40 L	+6.8wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+27%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Over	62c	177.42$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	235	44.7%105 W · 130 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over	41c	176$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.16	225	60.4%136 W · 89 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Over	57c	175.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	161	60.9%98 W · 63 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over	57c	175.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	169	43.2%73 W · 96 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Over	58c	172.4$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	1,206	32.7%394 W · 812 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e4…8d18backed Over	59c	167.76$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.98	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	24c	167.59$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.7	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	-6.6wins	-0.08per pick	64cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	107	34.6%37 W · 70 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over	62c	161.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	124	51.6%64 W · 60 L	+6.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under	39c	161.02$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.42	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Over	63c	158.73$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	192	41.1%79 W · 113 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under	38c	158$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.96	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5this page
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 5.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Ecuador won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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