TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,407 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c1,958$808 inLost-$807.974,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b68…cdb2backed Over58c1,695$981 inWon+$713.718051.3%41 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c950.48$410 inLost-$409.694,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under41c788.26$323 inLost-$323.1977845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under40c653.36$261 inLost-$261.292,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4490…e3babacked Over59c500$295 inWon+$20515357.5%88 W · 65 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over59c500$295 inWon+$20545038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over59c370.73$220 inWon+$151.183,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Over60c249.99$150 inWon+$99.9915149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over62c178.67$111 inWon+$67.498,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over59c134.71$79 inWon+$55.2310844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4272…4a17backed Over56c129.27$72 inWon+$56.886250%31 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under38c104.34$40 inLost-$39.6532855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ad…dda9backed Over59c101.69$60 inWon+$41.691747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over54c100$54 inWon+$4632254%174 W · 148 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over60c64.61$39 inWon+$25.853,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Over59c62.71$37 inWon+$25.7110728%30 W · 77 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over59c55.69$33 inWon+$22.8324935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x417c…63c5backed Under38c51.31$19 inLost-$19.341145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b5…a423backed Over60c50$30 inWon+$201866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21b3…8110backed Over62c50$31 inWon+$193946.2%18 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over59c49.99$29 inWon+$20.662,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x104a…cc7ebacked Over62c45.89$28 inWon+$17.443050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over58c43.6$25 inWon+$18.481,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4666…3a55backed Over59c42.37$25 inWon+$17.376457.8%37 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under42c39.22$16 inLost-$16.4743460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under42c28.94$12 inLost-$12.113,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Under39c28.55$11 inLost-$11.097040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee91…c2fdbacked Over62c19.65$12 inWon+$7.471566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.